NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	85		Excitement	6.8 [455]		MVP	John Starks (CHI): +10.9%
Chicago Bulls	81		Comeback	2.0 [395]		LVP	Elton Brand (CHI): -25.5%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	7	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Long	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	81%	0.21	7	-0.21	7	86%	0.02
Doug West	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	59%	0.04	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	11	38%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.02
Bryant Reeves	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	13	45%	-0.06	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.03	11	29%	-0.11	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	81%	0.16	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	62%	0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	28%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	1	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.08
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	6	33%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	6	44%	-0.13	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.06
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26	-0.26	-0.05	-0.15	0.06	20	50%	-0.21	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.7	25.2	15.6	23.0	2.0	43.2	137.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +33.6%

VAN +14.9%

VAN +5.0%

CHI -2.6%

CHI -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	CHI	NBA	VAN	CHI	NBA
this game	16.0	15.6	15.2	92.4	90.0	101.7
season	15.9	16.5		99.5	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.0		102.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.8	16.5	16.8	16.2	16.0
CHI	15.2	14.8	17.5	15.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Dickerson	76	74	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.32	17	-13	30	15.7	17.7	-2.02	16.6	11.2	5.39
Bryant Reeves	69	66	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.48	8	-4	12	16.0	16.2	-0.26	15.9	14.8	1.13
Mike Bibby	83	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	0	4	15.9	16.8	-0.84	15.6	15.8	-0.20
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	69	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	-1	6	16.1	15.7	0.43	15.9	14.8	1.06
Dennis Scott	38	38	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	1	2	16.2	15.9	0.28	15.6	15.6	-0.03
Othella Harrington	57	55	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	-7	18	15.9	16.2	-0.33	16.4	14.4	1.95
Brent Price	9	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	4	-4	16.8	15.9	0.84	15.8	15.6	0.20
Cherokee Parks	7	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	9	-14	15.1	16.1	-0.95	11.3	15.9	-4.60
Grant Long	29	30	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	12	-20	17.0	15.6	1.38	15.6	15.6	0.02
Doug West	23	22	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.13	-15	19	-34	16.2	16.0	0.20	10.0	17.4	-7.44

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	20	18	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.05	7	-11	18	16.6	15.3	1.32	16.9	15.8	1.15
Hersey Hawkins	44	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-4	4	15.7	15.5	0.21	15.3	16.8	-1.52
Matt Maloney	34	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-2	0	14.6	16.3	-1.71	15.2	16.5	-1.27
Dickey Simpkins	26	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	0	-4	16.1	15.4	0.69	15.7	16.2	-0.44
Metta World Peace	52	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-4	4	16.1	14.9	1.17	17.7	13.9	3.75
Chris Carr	41	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	0	-4	14.7	16.4	-1.73	14.3	17.6	-3.27
Randy Brown	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-2	0	16.3	14.6	1.71	16.5	15.2	1.27
Will Perdue	54	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.33	-5	1	-6	15.5	15.7	-0.21	16.5	15.3	1.20
John Starks	51	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.47	0	-4	4	15.0	16.4	-1.35	16.2	15.8	0.35
Elton Brand	72	76	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.42	-10	6	-16	15.7	15.1	0.64	15.8	17.1	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.1,0.03,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, VAN 89	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.16,0	93.3%
UTA 96, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.11,0.04,0.03,0,0	92.6%
LAC 91, NJN 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	92.4%