NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	6.6 [501]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +22.1%
Vancouver Grizzlies	89		Comeback	2.0 [688]		LVP	Michael Dickerson (VAN): -12.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.13	-0.01	23	62%	0.28	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Bryon Russell	0.10	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.02	14	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	11	55%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
John Stockton	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Armen Gilliam	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	3	25%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	16	65%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	18	58%	0.10	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	11	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.03	-0.07	19	37%	0.02	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	18	47%	-0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.6	26.2	14.8	27.1	1.7	35.2	128.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.7%

UTA +23.3%

VAN -5.7%

VAN -2.4%

UTA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	VAN	NBA	UTA	VAN	NBA
this game	14.9	16.3	15.2	101.1	96.7	101.7
season	16.3	15.9		104.5	99.5
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.9	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.8	17.5	13.7	13.8	14.9
VAN	17.9	15.3	16.3	15.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	70	68	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-5	15	14.2	16.8	-2.54	16.4	15.8	0.65
Karl Malone	81	78	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	14.6	16.7	-2.06	16.5	15.2	1.25
Bryon Russell	71	70	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-2	9	14.6	15.6	-0.94	16.8	14.5	2.39
Olden Polynice	48	47	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	-9	23	14.4	15.4	-0.94	17.1	15.4	1.79
Jacque Vaughn	30	28	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	-1	7	13.8	15.4	-1.58	15.0	16.8	-1.88
John Stockton	64	64	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.27	-1	6	-7	15.2	14.1	1.07	16.8	15.0	1.88
Adam Keefe	19	19	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	6	-7	14.5	15.0	-0.50	14.6	16.7	-2.07
Greg Ostertag	31	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.24	-10	15	-25	18.0	13.3	4.65	15.9	16.5	-0.57
Quincy Lewis	29	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	9	-13	15.8	14.5	1.29	15.0	16.9	-1.91
Armen Gilliam	22	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	10	-15	14.9	14.9	-0.01	15.2	16.7	-1.50

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	7	8	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-9	13	14.3	16.4	-2.15	19.0	14.5	4.52
Antoine Carr	8	8	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-7	9	15.0	16.4	-1.39	14.7	14.9	-0.13
Doug West	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-9	13	15.1	16.9	-1.81	14.8	14.9	-0.14
Dennis Scott	22	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-6	7	14.4	16.9	-2.51	14.2	15.1	-0.84
Othella Harrington	82	84	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-6	7	16.5	14.5	1.99	15.2	11.8	3.42
Grant Long	22	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	0	-5	14.8	16.7	-1.97	14.0	15.1	-1.14
Bryant Reeves	58	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	2	-9	17.7	13.9	3.74	15.5	13.8	1.76
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	68	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	3	-11	16.6	15.3	1.33	15.1	14.2	0.86
Mike Bibby	85	85	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.30	-9	4	-13	16.4	14.3	2.15	14.5	19.0	-4.52
Michael Dickerson	76	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	3	-11	16.3	16.2	0.10	14.3	17.9	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 91, NJN 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.9%
POR 94, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.02,0	93.7%
DEN 105, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0	93.3%