NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	7.3 [362]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +8.9%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	1.4 [784]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -20.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.02	14	71%	0.21	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	55%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03	-0.05	0.07	-0.02	17	37%	0.03	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Mo Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	50%	0.09	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	0.06	-0.04	0.02	15	53%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Joel Freeland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.04	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.04
Damian Lillard	-0.21	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.10	-0.09	0.01	12	41%	-0.09	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	6	42%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	62%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	13	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	6	39%	-0.04	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	28	44%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.20	-0.01	-0.12	0.06	14	58%	-0.02	5	-0.19	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.5	28.7	16.8	28.3	3.3	40.6	144.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +19.2%

POR +19.0%

POR +13.3%

NYK -9.6%

POR +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.1	100.0	96.8	105.2
season	15.1	16.0		109.6	106.4
opponent	15.4	14.8		107.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.8	16.6	15.4	16.4	15.5
NYK	16.2	14.7	16.6	13.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	77	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.29	17	-13	30	14.6	19.6	-4.94	15.2	15.7	-0.52
Wesley Matthews	70	71	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-10	24	15.2	16.4	-1.17	15.0	16.1	-1.09
Nicolas Batum	76	75	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.34	3	1	2	15.3	16.7	-1.46	14.8	17.2	-2.44
Damian Lillard	74	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	0	4	15.7	15.1	0.56	15.2	15.3	-0.07
Robin Lopez	66	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	3	-2	15.6	15.5	0.11	15.6	14.4	1.24
Joel Freeland	25	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	1	2	17.2	14.9	2.31	15.4	15.2	0.19
Dorell Wright	27	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	8	-12	15.1	15.7	-0.66	16.3	14.9	1.45
Mo Williams	39	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	11	-18	15.8	15.4	0.43	15.2	15.3	-0.04
Meyers Leonard	16	15	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.06	-11	15	-26	19.3	14.8	4.54	15.8	15.2	0.65

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Tyler	20	21	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.08	10	-14	24	15.0	15.3	-0.27	19.0	14.5	4.51
Amar'e Stoudemire	41	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-6	8	15.8	14.8	0.93	16.3	15.0	1.27
Iman Shumpert	46	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	4	-12	15.4	15.1	0.22	17.6	13.9	3.67
Tim Hardaway Jr.	53	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.40	9	-13	22	14.6	16.1	-1.52	15.2	16.0	-0.72
Pablo Prigioni	60	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-8	12	15.5	14.8	0.78	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Raymond Felton	46	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	6	-16	15.8	14.7	1.17	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Tyson Chandler	60	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	2	-8	15.2	15.3	-0.07	15.1	16.3	-1.17
J.R. Smith	59	63	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.42	-8	4	-12	15.0	15.6	-0.61	14.6	17.4	-2.75
Carmelo Anthony	80	81	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.35	-13	9	-22	15.0	16.5	-1.49	14.6	21.2	-6.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.02,0,0	93.7%
UTA 94, VAN 89	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.16,0	93.7%
MIA 110, NJN 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	93.1%