NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	110		Excitement	6.0 [654]		MVP	Eddie Jones (MIA): +23.1%
New Jersey Nets	97		Comeback	1.4 [549]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -20.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.10	0.00	11	84%	0.28	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	6	79%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	20	69%	0.16	3	-0.05	9	78%	0.01
Michael Doleac	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.02	-0.06	5	33%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Christian Laettner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Alonzo Mourning	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	69%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.05	6	-0.16	6	50%	-0.05

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	19	60%	0.15	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	57%	0.04	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	11	52%	-0.01	4	-0.11	11	82%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.05	0.02	22	41%	-0.14	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	3.6	34.3	19.7	28.0	3.0	47.2	163.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +69.6%

NJN -15.4%

MIA +2.9%

NJN -5.7%

NJN -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NJN	NBA	MIA	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	13.5	15.5	111.1	97.0	104.0
season	15.7	16.0		107.9	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.5		101.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.5	15.7	16.1	15.6	15.5
NJN	14.3	13.7	13.4	12.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	72	73	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.09	17	-4	21	15.5	15.3	0.22	13.9	12.5	1.40
Damon Jones	73	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	-5	23	14.8	17.2	-2.36	13.5	13.5	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	53	56	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	15.6	15.3	0.36	14.1	12.8	1.26
Udonis Haslem	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-3	19	15.4	15.7	-0.37	13.5	13.6	-0.11
Dwyane Wade	85	85	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	-1	15	15.0	18.4	-3.38	13.7	12.5	1.14
Alonzo Mourning	42	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	15	-17	15.4	15.5	-0.05	13.0	13.8	-0.83
Christian Laettner	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	14	-15	15.7	15.4	0.37	13.6	13.5	0.14
Keyon Dooling	29	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	17.3	14.7	2.58	13.2	13.6	-0.40
Michael Doleac	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	15	-17	0.0	15.6	-15.61	10.0	13.5	-3.54
Shandon Anderson	41	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.17	-7	20	-27	16.3	14.8	1.51	12.5	14.2	-1.73

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	37	36	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-15	17	12.9	13.9	-1.01	16.2	15.0	1.12
Brian Scalabrine	18	14	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-13	13	13.9	13.4	0.47	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Zoran Planinic	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-10	7	10.0	13.6	-3.57	24.0	15.4	8.63
Jabari Smith	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-10	7	10.0	13.6	-3.57	24.0	15.4	8.63
Rodney Buford	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-10	7	10.0	13.6	-3.57	24.0	15.4	8.63
Billy Thomas	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-10	7	10.0	13.6	-3.57	24.0	15.4	8.63
Travis Best	33	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-11	9	13.1	13.7	-0.57	14.6	15.9	-1.23
Jason Collins	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-6	-1	13.4	13.6	-0.21	15.9	14.5	1.46
Jason Kidd	86	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-5	-3	13.5	13.2	0.33	15.3	16.9	-1.66
Richard Jefferson	89	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	-4	-5	13.4	14.5	-1.17	15.6	14.3	1.23
Vince Carter	84	85	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	1	-15	13.7	12.7	0.97	15.2	17.0	-1.80
Nenad Krstic	76	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	2	-17	14.2	11.2	3.07	15.2	16.4	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 125, LAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
LAC 98, OKC 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
LAL 122, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%