NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	125		Excitement	6.6 [512]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +17.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	109		Comeback	1.2 [1237]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -9.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.04	0.03	12	73%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Tony Parker	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	16	69%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Danny Green	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.01	0.03	8	94%	0.15	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	12	54%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.02	10	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	8	44%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.03	0.06	6	67%	0.00	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	10	55%	0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.04	-0.05	11	59%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	18	50%	0.11	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	0.04	9	54%	0.08	3	-0.09	8	87%	-0.01
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	62%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	22	47%	-0.05	1	0.00	7	71%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.7	31.2	16.7	26.4	3.3	33.4	135.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +50.9%

LAL -11.3%

SAS +2.1%

SAS +4.6%

SAS +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAL	NBA	SAS	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	13.6	15.1	120.2	103.8	105.2
season	15.0	14.0		109.8	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.0		108.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.7	14.8	13.6	13.6	13.9
LAL	14.0	12.9	14.6	13.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	69	68	0.65	-0.15	0.81	-0.17	28	-12	40	13.8	14.3	-0.49	14.3	12.4	1.97
Tony Parker	70	70	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.17	23	-7	30	13.6	14.7	-1.15	14.3	12.3	2.01
Kawhi Leonard	75	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-1	18	13.6	14.7	-1.05	14.0	12.6	1.44
Danny Green	53	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	1	14	13.4	14.5	-1.09	14.1	13.2	0.84
Tiago Splitter	46	47	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.15	12	4	8	13.2	14.6	-1.40	14.8	12.7	2.14
Marco Belinelli	55	58	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.10	3	13	-10	14.4	13.4	1.03	13.3	14.1	-0.83
Manu Ginobili	48	48	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	16	-16	13.4	14.4	-0.96	13.2	14.0	-0.81
Boris Diaw	51	53	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	22	-28	15.4	12.5	2.86	12.8	14.5	-1.65
Cory Joseph	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	13.5	13.9	-0.45	10.2	13.8	-3.51
Patty Mills	34	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	23	-30	14.7	13.6	1.15	12.3	14.3	-2.01
Aron Baynes	15	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.09	-7	23	-30	15.5	13.7	1.79	10.1	14.3	-4.13

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
MarShon Brooks	14	13	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.05	8	-24	32	13.0	13.7	-0.73	17.3	13.5	3.86
Wesley Johnson	35	35	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-9	2	13.7	13.6	0.13	14.2	13.8	0.45
Kent Bazemore	63	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-14	12	13.6	13.6	0.02	14.1	13.6	0.52
Robert Sacre	55	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-14	12	13.9	13.3	0.63	14.2	13.7	0.53
Ryan Kelly	76	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-6	-4	13.0	15.3	-2.32	14.1	13.5	0.62
Xavier Henry	70	69	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-7	-2	13.6	13.7	-0.13	13.8	14.2	-0.45
Kendall Marshall	52	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.05	-17	1	-18	13.8	13.5	0.35	13.7	14.1	-0.37
Pau Gasol	79	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	4	-24	14.0	12.4	1.65	13.6	15.0	-1.37
Jodie Meeks	81	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.07	-21	5	-26	13.6	13.7	-0.05	13.4	16.1	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.07,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 116, NOH 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
MIA 110, NJN 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	94.3%
UTA 99, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.07,0,0,0	94.2%