NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	122		Excitement	5.9 [602]		MVP	Elden Campbell (LAL): +19.0%
Washington Bullets	107		Comeback	1.5 [390]		LVP	Eddie Jones (LAL): -11.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.07	0.02	25	63%	0.19	0	0.00	10	80%	0.00
Byron Scott	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	5	92%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	0.12	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.01	-0.00	24	61%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jerome Kersey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.02	0.04	8	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	86%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Eddie Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	13	53%	0.00	5	-0.11	6	100%	0.05

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	13	68%	0.14	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	16	44%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	15	67%	0.09	4	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
Lorenzo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	7	37%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	0.04	16	62%	0.05	3	-0.12	10	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.6	27.2	14.8	28.1	1.7	28.3	129.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +27.3%

LAL +3.3%

WAS -4.2%

LAL +23.9%

WAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	WAS	NBA	LAL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.2	14.3	15.6	120.8	105.9	104.4
season	15.3	14.8		105.8	104.3
opponent	15.8	15.7		103.3	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.7	14.8	12.8	15.6	14.2
WAS	14.0	12.9	15.3	15.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	88	88	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.02	20	-5	25	13.9	16.5	-2.55	14.3	14.3	-0.03
Byron Scott	58	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-1	17	14.4	14.0	0.49	15.1	13.2	1.82
Eddie Jones	88	87	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.04	17	-2	19	14.0	15.8	-1.76	14.4	13.7	0.65
Nick Van Exel	92	93	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-2	19	13.9	17.3	-3.40	14.2	15.7	-1.60
Travis Knight	54	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	8	-1	14.5	13.9	0.60	14.8	13.6	1.18
Jerome Kersey	65	64	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.11	11	4	7	14.5	13.8	0.67	13.5	15.6	-2.04
Corie Blount	20	20	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	12	-9	11.9	14.8	-2.91	14.0	14.3	-0.35
Derek Fisher	9	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	17	-19	17.3	13.9	3.40	15.7	14.2	1.60
George McCloud	16	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	19	-23	15.3	14.0	1.28	13.5	14.4	-0.92
Sean Rooks	15	15	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	25	-35	16.6	13.8	2.77	13.2	14.5	-1.27

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzo Williams	14	15	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-17	19	11.4	14.7	-3.39	13.0	14.5	-1.45
Chris Whitney	17	16	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-16	17	14.8	14.2	0.66	15.1	14.1	1.05
Jaren Jackson	39	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-15	15	13.4	14.9	-1.50	15.4	13.5	1.95
Gheorghe Muresan	43	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-7	-1	14.7	14.0	0.65	14.2	14.2	-0.03
Chris Webber	79	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-7	-1	14.3	14.2	0.06	14.3	13.9	0.42
Calbert Cheaney	78	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	-2	-11	14.7	13.0	1.71	14.1	14.7	-0.54
Tracy Murray	64	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.00	-16	1	-17	14.6	13.7	0.86	13.6	15.2	-1.68
Rod Strickland	84	85	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.02	-16	1	-17	14.2	14.8	-0.66	14.1	15.1	-1.05
Juwan Howard	87	88	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.00	-17	2	-19	14.4	13.6	0.74	14.4	13.1	1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 102, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	94.7%
WAS 100, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0	94.2%
MIL 90, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.46,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%