NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	109		Excitement	7.5 [367]		MVP	Duncan Robinson (MIA): +20.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	104		Comeback	2.2 [376]		LVP	Cameron Payne (PHI): -8.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duncan Robinson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.2	0.16	0.05	0.00	11	87%	0.28	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Haywood Highsmith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	0.00	13	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.12	-0.03	0.05	14	70%	0.13	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jovic	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	9	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Cain	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Herro	-0.04	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	23	47%	0.04	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	10	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.01	0.04	12	67%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
KJ Martin	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	-0.05	7	64%	0.03	2	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.04	0.05	23	60%	0.10	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Terquavion Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.06	0.01	15	71%	0.19	5	-0.21	1	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	25.6	14.6	25.0	2.5	36.5	133.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +21.8%

MIA +5.6%

MIA +23.3%

MIA +0.8%

PHI -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	14.4	15.4	14.5	113.5	107.2	113.9
season	14.9	14.9		112.3	115.6
opponent	14.5	14.8		112.6	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.2	11.8	14.7	17.4	14.4
PHI	14.0	15.8	15.9	16.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duncan Robinson	62	63	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.29	15	-10	25	15.0	13.4	1.60	15.8	14.7	1.15
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	64	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.47	5	0	5	14.3	14.6	-0.22	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Haywood Highsmith	73	74	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-1	7	14.2	15.0	-0.71	15.4	15.6	-0.24
Bam Adebayo	79	79	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	4	-3	14.3	14.8	-0.42	15.7	14.3	1.34
Tyler Herro	78	78	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	7	-9	14.5	14.2	0.31	15.3	15.7	-0.39
Kevin Love	23	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	2	1	15.1	14.2	0.94	14.2	15.8	-1.56
Jamal Cain	23	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	7	-9	13.1	14.8	-1.75	13.3	16.1	-2.83
Caleb Martin	51	51	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	4	-3	13.7	15.2	-1.43	16.1	14.7	1.38
Nikola Jovic	27	28	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.09	-2	7	-9	15.6	14.0	1.64	16.3	15.1	1.21

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Bamba	18	17	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.14	0	-5	5	13.9	15.8	-1.88	16.3	14.0	2.28
Terquavion Smith	6	6	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	14.7	15.5	-0.81	14.5	14.4	0.09
Cameron Payne	48	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-8	11	14.5	16.3	-1.79	13.3	15.4	-2.05
Ricky Council IV	46	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-3	1	15.5	15.4	0.11	15.0	13.9	1.12
KJ Martin	58	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-3	1	15.5	15.3	0.15	14.2	14.7	-0.53
Kelly Oubre Jr.	63	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.20	-8	3	-11	15.8	14.7	1.06	15.2	12.9	2.30
Tyrese Maxey	79	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.41	-3	-2	-1	15.5	15.1	0.45	14.2	15.4	-1.14
Buddy Hield	88	90	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	3	-11	15.6	14.1	1.45	14.4	14.3	0.09
Paul Reed	79	79	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.49	-5	0	-5	15.8	13.9	1.88	14.0	16.3	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.41,0.44,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.18,0.25,0.16,0.11,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	92.8%
LAL 104, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.32,0.47,0.24,0.13,0.31,0.22,0.02,0,0	92.4%
IND 113, CLE 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.28,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.09,0.05,0	92.3%