NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	7.8 [275]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +21.3%
Denver Nuggets	97		Comeback	3.0 [675]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -26.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.21	0.11	0.13	0.02	24	55%	0.23	1	-0.02	12	83%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	3	58%	0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Powell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	52%	0.09	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	45%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	15	47%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Luke Walton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	1	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	67%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.07	0.00	9	100%	0.27	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	13	62%	0.14	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Nene	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	53%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	13	43%	0.04	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	6	36%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	8	54%	-0.00	4	-0.14	8	75%	-0.06
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27	-0.27	-0.14	-0.07	0.05	15	38%	-0.11	5	-0.15	4	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.5	32.5	16.4	28.2	1.8	35.0	144.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN -13.3%

LAL +16.4%

LAL +30.0%

LAL +15.6%

LAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DEN	NBA	LAL	DEN	NBA
this game	14.4	13.4	15.5	101.0	93.3	106.4
season	14.9	14.4		110.6	109.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.3	14.1	13.6	14.7	14.4
DEN	12.4	12.1	14.6	14.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	68	68	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.21	13	-6	19	14.7	14.0	0.69	14.6	11.2	3.34
Vladimir Radmanovic	63	63	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	-2	11	14.4	14.4	-0.04	14.8	11.2	3.61
Pau Gasol	88	89	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	0	7	14.5	14.0	0.50	13.4	13.4	0.00
Derek Fisher	68	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	-1	9	14.5	14.2	0.30	14.5	11.4	3.04
Andrew Bynum	47	46	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	-2	11	14.3	14.6	-0.32	12.8	13.9	-1.07
Lamar Odom	52	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	-2	11	14.8	14.1	0.69	14.3	12.5	1.83
Trevor Ariza	38	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	7	-7	14.6	14.3	0.24	11.7	14.4	-2.78
Jordan Farmar	37	38	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	10	-13	14.1	14.6	-0.50	10.9	14.8	-3.87
Sasha Vujacic	33	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	11	-15	14.1	14.6	-0.49	11.7	14.2	-2.48
Luke Walton	5	5	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.00	-5	12	-17	13.0	14.5	-1.50	7.6	13.7	-6.10
Josh Powell	16	17	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.03	-8	15	-23	13.6	14.6	-1.02	12.6	13.6	-0.90

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	18	17	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-11	15	11.9	13.7	-1.76	13.9	14.5	-0.58
Chris Andersen	35	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-4	1	12.4	13.9	-1.51	14.5	14.4	0.11
Kenyon Martin	63	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-5	3	13.8	12.8	1.07	14.2	14.7	-0.44
Allen Iverson	80	79	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-9	11	13.5	13.0	0.58	14.5	14.3	0.18
J.R. Smith	62	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.22	-2	-5	3	12.3	15.1	-2.80	14.1	15.0	-0.89
Linas Kleiza	43	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-2	-3	12.7	13.9	-1.12	14.7	14.2	0.50
Nene	74	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	0	-7	13.6	13.0	0.57	14.5	14.3	0.11
Carmelo Anthony	79	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	1	-9	14.1	11.4	2.69	14.4	14.3	0.10
Anthony Carter	66	66	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	7	-21	14.3	11.8	2.46	14.7	13.9	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.32,0.47,0.24,0.13,0.31,0.22,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.03,0,0	93.3%
NJN 99, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.05,0.04,0	92.6%
NYK 100, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.08,0	92.5%