NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	113		Excitement	7.5 [352]		MVP	T.J. Warren (IND): +25.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Comeback	2.0 [742]		LVP	T.J. McConnell (IND): -13.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0.25	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.15,0.27,0.25,0.25	0.16	0.11	0.01	20	75%	0.40	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.08	0.03	13	73%	0.21	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Domantas Sabonis	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.01	13	60%	0.15	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Victor Oladipo	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	15	56%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Goga Bitadze	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	9	56%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	-0.01	-0.01	9	77%	0.21	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.01	4	45%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	21	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	16	47%	0.05	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	13	38%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	27.2	14.8	24.3	2.4	30.6	123.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +63.1%

CLE -24.2%

IND +2.0%

IND +8.4%

IND +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	15.1	14.2	114.1	105.1	109.6
season	14.4	15.1		108.7	106.3
opponent	13.8	14.4		114.2	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	14.0	12.2	16.1	13.9
CLE	16.1	13.7	14.0	17.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	75	75	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.32	20	-11	31	14.0	13.9	0.04	15.9	12.8	3.10
Malcolm Brogdon	69	69	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.25	20	-11	31	14.3	13.1	1.27	16.5	12.0	4.56
T.J. Warren	73	72	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.27	17	-8	25	14.1	13.4	0.71	15.8	13.3	2.49
Victor Oladipo	57	56	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	-1	11	14.3	13.5	0.74	15.9	14.2	1.65
Domantas Sabonis	86	85	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	3	3	14.4	10.7	3.75	15.1	15.4	-0.33
JaKarr Sampson	5	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	12	-15	11.2	14.1	-2.90	11.8	15.3	-3.52
T.J. McConnell	39	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	14	-19	13.9	14.0	-0.13	13.0	16.5	-3.52
Doug McDermott	21	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	13	-17	13.3	14.1	-0.84	14.1	15.5	-1.37
Justin Holiday	32	33	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	14	-19	12.6	14.6	-2.00	14.3	15.6	-1.30
Goga Bitadze	10	9	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.01	-7	16	-23	14.0	13.9	0.06	9.8	15.7	-5.90
Aaron Holiday	33	35	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.02	-7	16	-23	12.7	14.6	-1.88	13.6	16.0	-2.34

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	53	53	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-13	17	14.6	15.8	-1.16	13.7	14.2	-0.50
Matthew Dellavedova	41	41	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-12	15	13.5	16.3	-2.78	13.7	14.1	-0.41
Cedi Osman	47	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-5	1	15.3	15.0	0.38	13.3	14.5	-1.16
Collin Sexton	80	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-8	7	14.5	17.7	-3.21	13.6	15.2	-1.57
Kevin Love	77	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-3	-3	14.8	16.2	-1.40	14.3	12.6	1.75
Kevin Porter Jr.	68	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	0	-9	15.4	14.6	0.72	14.4	13.0	1.34
Darius Garland	59	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	5	-19	16.5	13.1	3.47	14.0	13.8	0.17
Andre Drummond	70	72	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.31	-18	9	-27	16.0	13.0	2.98	14.1	13.4	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.28,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.09,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 114, LAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.07,0	91.4%
LAC 94, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.05,0	91.1%
MIA 76, HOU 73	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.25,0.37,0.22,0.09,0	91.1%