NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	125		Excitement	9.3 [121]		MVP	Domantas Sabonis (SAC): +40.8%
Phoenix Suns	130		Comeback	4.4 [423]		LVP	Malik Monk (SAC): -10.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0.41	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.41	0.21	0.20	0.00	22	67%	0.43	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	6	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.18,-0.14,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	31	56%	0.27	6	-0.25	10	70%	-0.04
Keegan Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	9	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Malik Monk	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	0.00	-0.10	0.01	16	61%	0.10	5	-0.21	4	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.06,0.06,0.3	0.30	0.03	0.35	0.07	17	53%	0.45	3	-0.15	13	85%	0.06
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.26	0.26	0.04	0.24	0.01	7	53%	0.26	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.11	0.03	17	70%	0.32	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.04
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	17	62%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	10	83%	0.17	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	125%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	3.5	30.7	16.6	29.4	3.5	35.4	148.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +41.4%

PHX +16.1%

SAC -21.1%

PHX +9.9%

PHX +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	13.6	13.8	14.5	119.0	123.8	113.9
season	14.0	14.6		115.6	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.8		113.5	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.0	16.4	13.4	12.8	13.6
PHX	14.6	13.6	13.3	13.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	86	86	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-10	15	13.0	16.2	-3.20	14.1	12.8	1.22
Kessler Edwards	5	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-3	1	19.0	13.3	5.68	15.5	13.8	1.73
Keon Ellis	16	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.09	2	-7	9	12.3	13.8	-1.51	15.4	13.6	1.82
Alex Len	14	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-4	3	17.1	13.0	4.10	12.4	14.1	-1.68
Kevin Huerter	52	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	3	-11	13.3	13.8	-0.52	14.2	13.5	0.67
Keegan Murray	75	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-5	5	12.6	16.2	-3.61	14.0	13.5	0.49
Davion Mitchell	37	35	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	3	-11	14.9	12.9	1.97	13.8	13.8	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-2	-1	13.4	14.1	-0.69	14.0	13.3	0.71
Malik Monk	69	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-4	3	14.5	11.9	2.59	13.8	14.0	-0.20
De'Aaron Fox	89	90	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	4	-13	13.5	14.3	-0.85	13.1	18.1	-4.93

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royce O'Neale	63	64	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.52	13	-8	21	13.1	14.9	-1.82	14.8	11.7	3.05
Kevin Durant	84	85	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	-3	11	13.8	14.0	-0.14	13.5	13.9	-0.38
Devin Booker	86	86	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	0	5	13.5	15.4	-1.87	13.0	16.4	-3.39
Eric Gordon	60	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	-3	11	13.4	14.4	-0.91	12.7	14.9	-2.15
Grayson Allen	87	89	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.31	3	2	1	13.9	13.3	0.61	13.4	14.7	-1.29
Jusuf Nurkic	55	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	0	5	14.1	13.5	0.57	13.3	13.9	-0.65
Bradley Beal	10	10	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.03	3	2	1	15.2	13.7	1.51	13.5	13.6	-0.10
Nassir Little	22	20	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	5	-5	14.6	13.6	1.01	13.9	13.5	0.44
Josh Okogie	40	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.13	2	3	-1	13.6	14.0	-0.43	15.4	12.6	2.82
Bol Bol	5	5	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	13	-21	18.2	13.6	4.58	14.6	13.5	1.06
Drew Eubanks	13	12	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.11	-14	19	-33	16.5	13.5	2.99	13.1	13.7	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.46,0.42,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.71,0.46,0.38,0.54,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 109, HOU 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.73,1	91.1%
ORL 92, SEA 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.61,0.77,0.98,1	90.5%
LAC 93, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.6,0.4,0.38,0.72,0.57,0.91,1	89.9%