NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	92		Excitement	7.6 [285]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +10.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	97		Comeback	2.7 [595]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): -23.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Doleac	0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	82%	0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Monty Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.05	0.08	-0.13	0.01	20	58%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Pat Garrity	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.19	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	0.00	8	41%	-0.10	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.08	-0.01	22	40%	-0.12	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.06	-0.01	3	83%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.01	18	51%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.07
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.08	4	-0.13	9	89%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	10	56%	-0.03	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.03
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	5	42%	0.04	2	-0.10	2	0%	-0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	10	32%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	54.0	1.8	32.0	16.8	27.2	1.8	36.0	169.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +26.1%

SEA +12.8%

SEA +25.6%

ORL -13.6%

ORL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	SEA	NBA	ORL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.2	15.5	97.9	103.2	100.9
season	14.6	15.2		101.6	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.8		103.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.4	13.9	15.8	19.6	15.4
SEA	14.8	13.8	14.8	18.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	30	28	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.16	8	-13	21	16.3	15.0	1.36	12.7	16.3	-3.59
Troy Hudson	3	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-5	5	3.7	15.8	-12.12	12.5	15.3	-2.79
Bo Outlaw	83	82	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-7	9	15.8	12.6	3.13	15.5	13.7	1.70
John Amaechi	48	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-3	1	15.5	15.3	0.24	13.8	16.6	-2.81
Michael Doleac	45	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-2	-1	15.5	15.3	0.12	16.6	13.8	2.81
Darrell Armstrong	68	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-4	3	15.4	15.5	-0.19	15.8	13.6	2.23
Monty Williams	7	8	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	4	-13	15.4	15.4	0.03	17.5	15.0	2.48
Grant Hill	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	0	-5	15.3	15.9	-0.69	16.4	10.9	5.51
Tracy McGrady	86	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	1	-7	15.7	12.7	2.90	14.8	20.1	-5.35
Pat Garrity	26	27	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	4	-13	13.9	16.0	-2.05	13.4	16.0	-2.51

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	82	83	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-4	13	14.7	19.0	-4.32	15.4	15.3	0.15
Ruben Patterson	43	46	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.45	5	0	5	14.9	15.5	-0.65	16.3	14.6	1.68
Emanual Davis	62	62	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	-3	11	15.0	15.7	-0.69	15.0	16.3	-1.33
Vin Baker	53	54	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.44	-1	6	-7	15.1	15.4	-0.32	16.2	14.3	1.97
Rashard Lewis	70	69	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.24	0	5	-5	15.3	15.0	0.31	15.7	14.7	0.93
Desmond Mason	23	23	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	5	-5	16.7	14.8	1.88	16.4	15.1	1.31
Patrick Ewing	45	44	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	0	5	15.0	15.4	-0.45	13.8	16.8	-2.98
Jelani McCoy	45	43	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.12	6	-1	7	15.7	14.8	0.83	14.5	16.2	-1.65
Brent Barry	34	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	9	-13	16.9	14.3	2.58	16.6	14.8	1.81
Shammond Williams	13	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	8	-11	13.6	15.5	-1.88	13.2	15.8	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.61,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.91,0.98,1	91.3%
LAL 89, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.98,1	91.3%
NJN 104, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.96,1	90.6%