NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	7.7 [297]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): +21.4%
San Antonio Spurs	106		Comeback	2.0 [787]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (SAS): -20.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.21	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.21	0.09	0.09	-0.03	19	61%	0.19	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	6	78%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Lucious Harris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Scott Burrell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.11	0.06	-0.14	0.02	14	76%	0.06	5	-0.17	17	88%	0.05
Johnny Newman	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	7	79%	0.24	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	5	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
David Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	15	62%	0.11	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	57%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	0.00	7	60%	0.08	4	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	14	52%	0.04	5	-0.15	5	60%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	13	33%	-0.08	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	28.4	15.3	24.7	2.6	31.0	131.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.0%

NJN -9.8%

SAS +42.9%

NJN -25.2%

SAS +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAS	NBA	NJN	SAS	NBA
this game	14.2	15.8	15.2	108.3	110.4	101.7
season	15.5	15.5		102.1	101.6
opponent	15.4	14.7		95.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	12.4	13.9	16.1	14.2
SAS	14.6	14.3	17.4	17.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	37	37	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-4	6	14.0	14.3	-0.24	14.6	16.6	-2.00
Keith Van Horn	51	51	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.22	8	-10	18	12.8	15.7	-2.89	15.7	16.0	-0.33
Elliot Perry	20	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-3	4	12.8	14.5	-1.68	14.7	16.1	-1.42
Lucious Harris	31	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.10	-3	1	-4	14.2	14.2	0.07	15.2	16.1	-0.93
Kendall Gill	66	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.34	5	-7	12	13.4	15.9	-2.46	16.2	14.9	1.38
Johnny Newman	30	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	5	-12	15.9	13.4	2.46	14.9	16.2	-1.38
Kerry Kittles	65	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-3	4	14.2	14.2	-0.07	16.1	15.2	0.93
Stephon Marbury	76	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	1	-4	14.5	12.8	1.68	16.1	14.7	1.42
Scott Burrell	45	45	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	8	-18	15.7	12.8	2.89	16.0	15.7	0.33
Jamie Feick	59	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.47	-4	2	-6	14.3	14.0	0.24	16.6	14.6	2.00

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	60	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	-3	8	15.9	15.7	0.21	14.3	14.0	0.25
David Robinson	66	68	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.35	2	0	2	15.2	17.2	-1.95	14.3	14.0	0.30
Jaren Jackson	54	55	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	0	2	16.9	14.4	2.48	14.5	13.7	0.82
Mario Elie	73	73	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.37	-2	4	-6	15.6	16.6	-0.98	13.4	16.6	-3.20
Jerome Kersey	36	35	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	-10	22	13.9	17.0	-3.09	15.2	13.6	1.56
Tim Duncan	81	81	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.40	-7	9	-16	16.2	14.0	2.16	13.3	19.1	-5.87
Avery Johnson	65	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	5	-8	15.2	17.2	-1.98	13.9	14.8	-0.98
Derrick Dial	16	17	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	1	0	18.7	15.2	3.51	15.7	13.8	1.86
Samaki Walker	29	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	2	-2	16.9	15.4	1.54	16.3	13.3	2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, ATL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.87,0.9,0.78,0.83,0.92,1	93.1%
BOS 87, ORL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.63,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.73,0.9,0.72,0.78,0.98,1	93.0%
LAL 84, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.8,0.72,0.89,0.97,1,1,1	92.8%