NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	7.5 [335]		MVP	Tony Battie (BOS): +6.4%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	2.0 [703]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -20.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	5	83%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Erick Strickland	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	8	50%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	10	58%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	12	46%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	19	46%	0.10	5	-0.15	3	33%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.22,-0.2	-0.11	-0.15	-0.06	19	47%	-0.05	5	-0.15	5	80%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.04	18	58%	0.14	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	18	61%	0.18	4	-0.14	8	62%	-0.06
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	11	23%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	8	59%	0.02	5	-0.15	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.6	28.0	15.3	27.4	1.4	33.7	130.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +19.5%

BOS -1.1%

ORL +30.7%

BOS -2.3%

ORL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	14.1	16.4	15.6	90.6	105.4	102.3
season	15.0	14.6		100.9	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.7		103.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.3	15.7	11.1	16.0	14.1
ORL	16.3	16.3	15.1	18.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	1	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-11	11	2.0	14.2	-12.21	1.0	16.6	-15.60
Kenny Anderson	62	60	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-11	11	13.8	14.6	-0.74	16.3	16.6	-0.32
Eric Williams	45	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-6	1	14.6	13.7	0.89	16.0	16.8	-0.77
Vitaly Potapenko	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-13	15	14.1	14.1	-0.01	15.6	16.8	-1.13
Joe Johnson	53	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-6	1	14.2	13.9	0.32	17.7	14.9	2.87
Tony Battie	61	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-1	-9	13.9	14.4	-0.50	17.0	15.5	1.51
Paul Pierce	94	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	0	-11	14.2	10.5	3.66	16.3	22.5	-6.20
Erick Strickland	47	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	2	-15	14.3	13.8	0.50	15.9	16.9	-1.02
Antoine Walker	90	87	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.17	-13	2	-15	14.0	15.5	-1.51	16.4	16.7	-0.25

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	64	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-8	27	15.6	18.3	-2.73	12.8	16.8	-3.95
Pat Garrity	75	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-2	15	16.4	16.6	-0.16	13.4	16.8	-3.38
Mike Miller	81	85	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	-1	13	16.3	17.5	-1.23	13.7	17.0	-3.29
Tracy McGrady	77	78	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	6	-1	16.4	16.4	-0.01	13.7	15.7	-2.02
Horace Grant	70	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	3	5	16.7	15.5	1.26	13.7	15.2	-1.57
Don Reid	16	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	8	-5	15.3	16.7	-1.35	15.7	13.7	1.95
Monty Williams	27	28	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	6	-1	17.3	16.1	1.17	16.5	13.1	3.36
Andrew DeClercq	11	13	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	12	-13	20.8	15.8	4.98	16.5	13.7	2.75
Steven Hunter	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	7.0	16.5	-9.53	9.0	14.1	-5.14
Troy Hudson	32	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	17	-23	16.9	16.2	0.73	16.1	13.1	3.02
Jud Buechler	11	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	14	-17	15.5	16.6	-1.11	17.5	13.6	3.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.63,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.73,0.9,0.72,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 104, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.96,1	93.0%
TOR 99, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.71,0.95,1	92.5%
MIL 80, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	92.5%