NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	8.2 [189]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +24.4%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	1.9 [332]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -21.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Respert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	61%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	57%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
Tracy McGrady	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	15	71%	0.18	6	-0.19	5	80%	-0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	55%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.05
Damon Stoudamire	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	13	49%	-0.07	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.03
John Wallace	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	4	30%	-0.07	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	0.00	13	36%	-0.10	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.08	-0.01	6	112%	0.28	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.04	0.01	14	58%	0.07	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
Pervis Ellison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	11	36%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	17	55%	-0.03	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	7	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	7	42%	-0.08	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.04
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	6	50%	0.02	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.6	28.2	17.3	31.6	1.8	48.2	155.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +12.7%

BOS +20.8%

BOS +20.5%

TOR -0.4%

TOR -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	14.3	15.6	103.1	106.2	102.5
season	15.5	15.1		98.7	100.2
opponent	15.1	14.8		103.0	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.8	17.7	17.3	12.9	15.5
BOS	12.8	15.0	16.2	13.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	42	42	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.03	8	-12	20	16.2	14.9	1.29	14.9	13.9	0.91
Tracy McGrady	12	13	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-8	12	17.3	15.2	2.08	16.3	14.0	2.27
John Wallace	33	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-6	8	14.7	16.0	-1.29	13.0	15.0	-1.99
Zan Tabak	30	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	0	-4	15.4	15.6	-0.21	15.8	13.7	2.15
Marcus Camby	64	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	2	-8	16.0	14.5	1.47	14.8	13.4	1.39
Reggie Slater	33	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	1	-6	17.2	14.7	2.50	13.0	15.0	-2.03
Shawn Respert	29	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.37	-1	-3	2	12.9	16.6	-3.75	13.3	14.8	-1.42
Damon Stoudamire	83	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	15.8	13.8	1.92	14.4	13.7	0.67
Walt Williams	72	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	3	-10	15.3	16.2	-0.87	14.5	13.9	0.62
Doug Christie	82	83	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.38	-8	4	-12	15.1	18.1	-3.00	14.0	16.1	-2.11

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	81	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-7	18	14.6	13.2	1.38	15.5	15.5	0.01
Dee Brown	47	46	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	4	-4	13.1	15.5	-2.35	15.0	16.0	-1.02
Travis Knight	68	69	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.47	-5	9	-14	15.0	12.8	2.16	14.8	17.4	-2.59
Bruce Bowen	26	24	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-9	22	15.3	14.0	1.37	16.8	15.1	1.71
Chauncey Billups	64	63	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	8	-12	14.0	15.0	-1.00	13.6	19.1	-5.46
Dana Barros	32	30	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	-1	6	14.7	14.2	0.52	17.9	14.4	3.43
Greg Minor	21	21	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	1	2	12.7	14.8	-2.08	16.1	15.3	0.81
Andrew DeClercq	41	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.12	9	-5	14	15.0	13.8	1.19	16.8	14.6	2.16
Walter McCarty	62	65	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.38	-11	15	-26	14.6	13.9	0.67	15.1	16.4	-1.25
Ron Mercer	46	45	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	4	-4	15.8	13.1	2.70	16.0	15.1	0.84
Pervis Ellison	5	5	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	4	-4	12.2	14.5	-2.26	19.6	15.3	4.31
Tyus Edney	6	6	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	1	2	10.7	14.6	-3.92	17.3	15.4	1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.71,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 95, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.9,0.91,1	93.2%
CLE 79, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.9,0.98,1,1	92.7%
BOS 87, ORL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.63,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.73,0.9,0.72,0.78,0.98,1	92.5%