NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	80		Excitement	7.1 [364]		MVP	Joe Smith (PHI): +13.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	87		Comeback	2.2 [523]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -30.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armen Gilliam	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	10	64%	0.14	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	6	43%	-0.10	2	-0.05	9	33%	-0.11
Glenn Robinson	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.06	0.00	22	42%	-0.07	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.02
Ray Allen	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31	-0.15	-0.13	0.03	18	44%	-0.08	6	-0.23	3	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	9	60%	0.13	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.05
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.13	0.06	-0.03	14	34%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	29%	-0.07
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	35%	-0.03	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	15	49%	-0.08	3	-0.09	9	100%	0.03
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.06	0.02	13	41%	-0.11	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	24.7	15.0	27.2	2.4	38.4	133.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +16.2%

MIL -0.5%

PHI +9.8%

PHI +26.6%

MIL -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.6	88.9	94.6	102.5
season	16.0	15.4		101.1	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.1		102.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.4	17.7	14.3	18.7	16.5
PHI	15.3	14.4	16.9	14.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	48	47	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-10	13	15.3	17.9	-2.57	16.7	13.6	3.08
Michael Curry	37	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-6	5	17.8	15.6	2.15	14.4	15.7	-1.34
Glenn Robinson	71	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-3	-1	16.1	17.8	-1.72	15.2	14.9	0.35
Tyrone Hill	88	90	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-3	-1	16.4	19.5	-3.08	15.3	11.5	3.76
Ray Allen	84	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.30	-7	0	-7	16.6	15.5	1.06	15.0	17.0	-1.95
Elliot Perry	78	80	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.30	-9	2	-11	16.1	18.7	-2.61	15.6	12.2	3.36
Armen Gilliam	44	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.24	-13	6	-19	17.9	15.1	2.82	13.5	16.9	-3.40

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	84	83	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-5	17	14.9	17.9	-2.96	16.6	15.0	1.61
Joe Smith	52	48	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.22	12	-5	17	13.8	17.0	-3.23	17.4	15.4	1.99
Theo Ratliff	66	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.15	9	-2	11	15.6	14.0	1.58	16.7	16.0	0.68
Allen Iverson	71	71	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	-2	11	15.6	13.6	2.01	16.2	17.6	-1.45
Brian Shaw	49	48	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.29	-1	8	-9	14.7	15.7	-0.98	17.1	15.8	1.23
Aaron McKie	65	65	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	5	-3	15.9	13.3	2.61	15.8	18.4	-2.59
Scott Williams	25	23	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	10	-13	14.1	15.6	-1.50	17.1	16.3	0.86
Eric Snow	21	20	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	10	-13	13.6	15.6	-2.01	16.7	16.4	0.34
Mark Davis	27	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	9	-11	17.6	14.2	3.42	14.8	17.2	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 90, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	94.4%
BOS 90, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.99,0.96,1	93.5%
GSW 88, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.94,1,1	93.4%