NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	88		Excitement	6.4 [506]		MVP	Tiago Splitter (SAS): +21.8%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	2.3 [952]		LVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): -13.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	17	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	18	52%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Festus Ezeli	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	20	49%	0.06	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Carl Landry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.09	-0.00	13	56%	0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Charles Jenkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.06	0.01	10	79%	0.22	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.12	0.01	18	61%	0.26	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.04	-0.03	9	62%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.01	16	63%	0.28	4	-0.15	6	100%	0.04
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nando De Colo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	12	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.6	27.5	36.0	28.2	2.7	23.0	141.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.9%

SAS +16.8%

SAS +9.7%

GSW -8.8%

GSW -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAS	NBA	GSW	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	16.2	15.4	96.7	103.3	104.1
season	14.6	15.2		104.6	106.4
opponent	15.1	15.3		99.5	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.8	16.2	15.0	16.2	15.2
SAS	16.2	13.8	16.3	18.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Festus Ezeli	35	34	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.01	5	-12	17	15.3	15.2	0.02	16.5	16.1	0.38
Andris Biedrins	12	12	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-9	11	15.2	15.2	0.01	15.8	16.3	-0.45
Charles Jenkins	13	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-6	5	16.2	15.1	1.15	11.6	16.9	-5.34
Kent Bazemore	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-8	9	17.5	14.9	2.60	13.7	16.6	-2.95
Draymond Green	32	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-4	1	16.4	14.6	1.75	15.6	16.6	-1.02
Jarrett Jack	81	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-4	1	14.7	19.4	-4.67	16.5	13.9	2.59
Klay Thompson	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	14.5	18.9	-4.34	16.2	16.2	0.05
David Lee	72	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	3	-13	14.9	16.4	-1.42	16.6	14.6	2.01
Carl Landry	52	53	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.30	-10	3	-13	16.6	13.5	3.12	16.3	16.1	0.26
Harrison Barnes	70	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.31	-10	3	-13	14.8	16.6	-1.79	16.9	13.8	3.10

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	72	71	0.79	-0.28	1.07	0.35	15	-8	23	16.0	16.9	-0.92	14.6	17.4	-2.77
Tiago Splitter	67	67	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.34	15	-8	23	16.1	16.6	-0.51	15.5	14.5	1.01
Stephen Jackson	39	39	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-4	15	15.1	17.0	-1.91	16.1	14.6	1.46
Danny Green	56	57	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	3	1	15.9	16.7	-0.77	14.3	16.8	-2.48
Tim Duncan	60	59	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	7	-7	17.4	13.9	3.51	15.0	15.7	-0.78
Kawhi Leonard	53	52	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	11	-15	17.0	15.1	1.91	14.6	16.1	-1.46
Boris Diaw	41	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	5	-3	16.0	16.5	-0.50	16.3	14.4	1.91
Matt Bonner	14	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	6	-5	14.1	16.6	-2.54	12.8	15.6	-2.79
Patty Mills	11	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	10	-13	14.1	16.5	-2.43	18.9	14.7	4.17
Nando De Colo	8	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	10	-13	20.4	15.8	4.54	16.3	15.2	1.13
Gary Neal	39	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	10	-13	16.2	16.2	-0.04	16.2	14.6	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 80, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	93.4%
PHI 89, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.79,0.93,0.99,1	92.9%
PHI 95, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.75,0.88,0.79,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.97,1	92.3%