NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	7.1 [385]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +12.8%
Orlando Magic	95		Comeback	2.2 [774]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (PHI): -19.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.02	10	77%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.08	0.01	19	55%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	12	46%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	55%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.11	0.02	15	46%	-0.17	1	-0.03	9	22%	-0.18

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	6	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	7	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	21	52%	0.11	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.06
Britton Johnsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	15	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Reece Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	8	29%	-0.05	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.5	27.4	16.7	25.4	2.5	35.5	129.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -1.4%

ORL +30.7%

ORL +24.0%

PHI -6.1%

ORL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.4	17.1	15.7	101.1	106.7	100.5
season	16.2	15.7		96.7	100.9
opponent	15.4	15.8		108.2	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.1	16.5	18.4	12.9	15.4
ORL	17.2	16.3	15.9	19.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	13	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-3	0	16.1	15.3	0.77	18.1	16.9	1.13
Zendon Hamilton	25	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	0	-6	15.1	15.6	-0.48	17.8	16.8	1.04
Kyle Korver	23	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	3	-12	16.7	15.0	1.67	18.4	16.6	1.79
Aaron McKie	74	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-8	10	15.3	16.1	-0.86	17.2	16.6	0.62
Kenny Thomas	79	77	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-7	8	15.3	16.9	-1.64	17.3	16.0	1.29
Eric Snow	55	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-2	-2	15.3	15.6	-0.25	15.7	19.2	-3.49
Willie Green	39	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-4	2	14.4	16.2	-1.77	18.5	15.9	2.55
John Salmons	60	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-4	2	15.7	14.8	0.88	16.6	18.4	-1.81
Samuel Dalembert	72	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	1	-8	15.7	14.1	1.66	16.7	19.3	-2.59

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	72	71	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	4	-2	16.9	17.9	-0.95	15.2	16.2	-1.01
Keith Bogans	62	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	3	0	17.4	16.4	1.01	15.3	15.8	-0.55
Tyronn Lue	60	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	3	0	17.1	17.1	-0.04	15.5	15.2	0.32
Andrew DeClercq	62	60	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	5	-4	17.1	17.2	-0.16	15.5	15.2	0.35
Juwan Howard	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.34	-1	7	-8	17.2	16.8	0.38	15.0	16.7	-1.71
Drew Gooden	24	24	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	-1	8	16.8	17.2	-0.38	16.7	15.0	1.71
Steven Hunter	27	28	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	1	4	17.2	17.1	0.16	15.2	15.5	-0.35
Reece Gaines	29	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	3	0	17.1	17.1	0.04	15.2	15.5	-0.32
Derrick Dial	12	12	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	-1	8	16.8	17.2	-0.32	17.7	15.1	2.60
Britton Johnsen	33	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	6	-6	17.0	17.2	-0.13	15.0	15.6	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.79,0.93,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 88, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.94,1,1	92.9%
MIL 80, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	92.7%
NJN 105, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.96,1	92.6%