NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	7.6 [342]		MVP	JR Smith (CLE): +22.4%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	2.2 [313]		LVP	Kyle Korver (CLE): -13.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JR Smith	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.2,0.22	0.07	0.12	-0.03	12	62%	0.26	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	16	48%	0.08	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.03
Dwyane Wade	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	75%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.01	22	59%	0.09	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	41%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	5	27%	-0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	24	57%	0.22	3	-0.07	10	50%	-0.03
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.03	0.10	-0.02	11	42%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	60%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	11	56%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
TJ Leaf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	26.3	14.6	29.5	2.5	35.5	137.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.3%

CLE -5.3%

IND +26.3%

IND +8.9%

CLE -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	14.7	106.2	110.4	107.5
season	14.8	14.8		111.2	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.7		106.7	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.6	14.5	16.8	14.9	15.4
IND	12.1	14.9	13.2	18.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	54	55	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.11	11	-15	26	15.7	15.2	0.50	13.4	16.1	-2.70
Jose Calderon	44	43	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.07	8	-12	20	16.7	14.4	2.32	13.8	15.1	-1.29
Jae Crowder	49	48	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-6	8	15.9	15.0	0.88	13.6	15.5	-1.94
Cedi Osman	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-2	0	15.0	15.7	-0.69	15.7	14.0	1.68
Channing Frye	19	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	3	-10	15.3	15.5	-0.23	12.9	14.9	-1.98
LeBron James	77	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-7	10	15.5	15.3	0.23	14.9	12.9	1.98
JR Smith	68	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-2	0	15.4	15.5	-0.02	14.2	15.4	-1.24
Kyle Korver	43	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	0	-4	15.0	15.8	-0.81	16.0	13.4	2.62
Dwyane Wade	51	52	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	8	-20	14.6	16.4	-1.71	15.0	14.1	0.89
Jeff Green	46	46	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.26	-17	13	-30	15.2	15.7	-0.57	15.6	13.6	1.99

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	49	47	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.31	16	-12	28	13.8	15.4	-1.63	14.9	16.0	-1.04
Myles Turner	65	65	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	-1	6	13.7	16.4	-2.71	15.5	15.4	0.14
Bojan Bogdanovic	70	69	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.38	-2	6	-8	15.2	12.8	2.39	15.7	14.9	0.83
Domantas Sabonis	41	41	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	-4	12	14.8	14.4	0.44	15.0	15.8	-0.74
Victor Oladipo	71	72	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	3	-2	14.2	15.6	-1.42	15.7	14.5	1.21
Damien Wilkins	18	18	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	-3	10	12.9	14.9	-1.98	14.9	15.6	-0.62
Thaddeus Young	74	74	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.39	-6	10	-16	15.6	11.2	4.37	15.9	14.1	1.76
Lance Stephenson	42	42	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	5	-6	15.9	13.5	2.32	14.9	15.9	-1.01
TJ Leaf	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	2	0	11.7	14.9	-3.18	11.9	15.8	-3.93
Darren Collison	41	43	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	14	-24	14.4	14.7	-0.33	16.3	14.8	1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 90, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.2%
DEN 94, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.98,1,1	92.1%
CLE 95, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.92,1	92.0%