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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 95 Excitement9.1 [120] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +74.4%
Indiana Pacers 96 Comeback1.6 [311] LVPZydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -18.0%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.740,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.740.280.47-0.002184%1.007-0.251493%0.25
Wally Szczerbiak0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11-0.030.13-0.01833%0.1100.002100%0.01
JJ Hickson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.001100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Daniel Gibson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.040.06-0.01743%0.112-0.0900%0.00
Anderson Varejao-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00350%0.021-0.031040%-0.10
Darnell Jackson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01217%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Mo Williams-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.00-0.011841%0.023-0.091100%0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.13-0.050.001729%-0.132-0.0500%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.380.380.030.360.011352%0.411-0.03367%-0.02
Danny Granger0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,0.350.35-0.110.41-0.051840%0.454-0.10475%0.04
Travis Diener0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.130.140.00793%0.2700.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.170.080.019100%0.271-0.0300%0.00
Roy Hibbert0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.01967%0.0800.0000%0.00
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.000.00260%0.0300.001100%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01936%-0.0200.00450%-0.03
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.01-0.00729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Maceo Baston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.100.00-0.01837%0.024-0.113100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.81.828.115.726.22.335.7132.6
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +34.7%
CLE -3.4%
CLE -5.4%
IND +18.7%
IND +5.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEINDNBACLEINDNBA
this game16.315.215.5103.3105.5106.4
season16.914.1110.6106.5
opponent15.315.2107.7101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.218.517.713.916.3
IND14.815.812.318.215.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JJ Hickson10100.15-0.650.800.034-5915.416.4-0.9714.815.3-0.46
Darnell Jackson220.01-0.510.52-0.021-2319.016.22.8010.015.3-5.33
Ben Wallace4950-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-21-316.915.61.2813.916.8-2.90
LeBron James8079-0.18-0.320.15-0.387-81515.819.2-3.4415.215.00.24
Anderson Varejao4240-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.35-21-316.516.00.5315.515.00.56
Zydrunas Ilgauskas6969-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.32-43-716.416.00.4115.115.6-0.50
Daniel Gibson4747-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.41-21-316.416.10.2517.113.23.92
Wally Szczerbiak8078-0.530.03-0.56-0.41-43-716.216.9-0.7514.917.2-2.36
Mo Williams8180-0.570.07-0.65-0.49-32-516.216.9-0.7415.314.31.06

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Rush35370.66-0.160.820.467-61315.215.2-0.0115.916.5-0.66
Jarrett Jack74750.480.020.470.4510115.016.1-1.0515.718.5-2.78
Troy Murphy72720.410.090.320.3810115.215.20.0616.216.5-0.31
Rasho Nesterovic37380.400.100.300.207-61314.615.6-1.0817.715.22.51
Travis Diener30320.330.170.150.156-51115.415.10.2417.815.42.43
T.J. Ford61600.170.33-0.150.32-56-1115.115.4-0.2415.417.8-2.43
Danny Granger73730.170.33-0.170.37-78-1515.613.42.2015.718.3-2.52
Stephen Graham10100.040.46-0.420.0401-115.215.2-0.0118.816.02.85
Maceo Baston1616-0.040.54-0.57-0.01-12-314.915.3-0.4117.616.01.58
Roy Hibbert4747-0.130.63-0.75-0.01-45-915.415.00.4916.116.4-0.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 63, CLE 730.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.99,192.9%
PHI 90, LAL 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.9,0.97,1,192.6%
ORL 108, POR 1130.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.71,0.85,0.91,192.6%