NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	9.1 [120]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +74.4%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	1.6 [311]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -18.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.74	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.74	0.28	0.47	-0.00	21	84%	1.00	7	-0.25	14	93%	0.25
Wally Szczerbiak	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11	-0.03	0.13	-0.01	8	33%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	7	43%	0.11	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	10	40%	-0.10
Darnell Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	18	41%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	0.00	17	29%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.38	0.38	0.03	0.36	0.01	13	52%	0.41	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Danny Granger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,0.35	0.35	-0.11	0.41	-0.05	18	40%	0.45	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.04
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.14	0.00	7	93%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.08	0.01	9	100%	0.27	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	0.02	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	28.1	15.7	26.2	2.3	35.7	132.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.7%

CLE -3.4%

CLE -5.4%

IND +18.7%

IND +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	16.3	15.2	15.5	103.3	105.5	106.4
season	16.9	14.1		110.6	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.7	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	18.5	17.7	13.9	16.3
IND	14.8	15.8	12.3	18.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	10	10	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-5	9	15.4	16.4	-0.97	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Darnell Jackson	2	2	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-2	3	19.0	16.2	2.80	10.0	15.3	-5.33
Ben Wallace	49	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	1	-3	16.9	15.6	1.28	13.9	16.8	-2.90
LeBron James	80	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.38	7	-8	15	15.8	19.2	-3.44	15.2	15.0	0.24
Anderson Varejao	42	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	1	-3	16.5	16.0	0.53	15.5	15.0	0.56
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	3	-7	16.4	16.0	0.41	15.1	15.6	-0.50
Daniel Gibson	47	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	1	-3	16.4	16.1	0.25	17.1	13.2	3.92
Wally Szczerbiak	80	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	3	-7	16.2	16.9	-0.75	14.9	17.2	-2.36
Mo Williams	81	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.49	-3	2	-5	16.2	16.9	-0.74	15.3	14.3	1.06

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	35	37	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.46	7	-6	13	15.2	15.2	-0.01	15.9	16.5	-0.66
Jarrett Jack	74	75	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.45	1	0	1	15.0	16.1	-1.05	15.7	18.5	-2.78
Troy Murphy	72	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	0	1	15.2	15.2	0.06	16.2	16.5	-0.31
Rasho Nesterovic	37	38	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	-6	13	14.6	15.6	-1.08	17.7	15.2	2.51
Travis Diener	30	32	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	-5	11	15.4	15.1	0.24	17.8	15.4	2.43
T.J. Ford	61	60	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.32	-5	6	-11	15.1	15.4	-0.24	15.4	17.8	-2.43
Danny Granger	73	73	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.37	-7	8	-15	15.6	13.4	2.20	15.7	18.3	-2.52
Stephen Graham	10	10	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	1	-1	15.2	15.2	-0.01	18.8	16.0	2.85
Maceo Baston	16	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	2	-3	14.9	15.3	-0.41	17.6	16.0	1.58
Roy Hibbert	47	47	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	5	-9	15.4	15.0	0.49	16.1	16.4	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 63, CLE 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.99,1	92.9%
PHI 90, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.6%
ORL 108, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.71,0.85,0.91,1	92.6%