NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	108		Excitement	7.1 [432]		MVP	Juan Dixon (POR): +44.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	113		Comeback	1.7 [860]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -23.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.20	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.04	0.03	18	71%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Diener	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.07	0.07	-0.04	7	79%	0.19	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	6	83%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	16	57%	0.18	3	-0.19	3	67%	-0.05
Stacey Augmon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	11	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.24	-0.07	-0.15	0.02	20	42%	-0.13	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.37,0.45	0.45	0.19	0.26	0.01	13	83%	0.47	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.14	-0.00	12	87%	0.37	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.05	0.02	7	94%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.06	0.02	18	47%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.8	31.2	15.6	26.0	2.5	31.5	134.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +53.8%

ORL -4.4%

ORL -13.6%

POR +16.5%

ORL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	POR	NBA	ORL	POR	NBA
this game	17.1	16.4	15.6	125.6	131.4	104.4
season	16.4	16.6		104.4	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.7		109.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.6	16.1	18.2	17.4	17.1
POR	17.7	16.6	18.7	13.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	4	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.00	-1	-4	3	24.2	16.7	7.54	25.3	16.1	9.22
Stacey Augmon	22	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-4	3	18.1	16.7	1.45	17.0	16.2	0.82
Pat Garrity	7	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-4	3	13.4	17.4	-3.95	6.7	17.2	-10.50
Tony Battie	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-2	-1	17.5	16.7	0.81	16.7	16.2	0.48
Travis Diener	30	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	1	-7	16.2	17.5	-1.27	12.9	18.2	-5.33
DeShawn Stevenson	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-2	-1	17.5	14.7	2.82	17.6	10.7	6.98
Kelvin Cato	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-1	-3	17.2	17.0	0.21	16.5	16.4	0.14
Dwight Howard	71	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-4	3	17.1	16.9	0.15	16.5	16.0	0.51
Hedo Turkoglu	70	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-4	3	16.8	18.2	-1.46	16.3	17.0	-0.69
Jameer Nelson	77	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	16.5	21.7	-5.15	16.7	13.4	3.37

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	57	57	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-2	9	15.7	17.8	-2.06	17.0	17.2	-0.17
Ruben Patterson	53	53	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	-1	7	15.8	17.5	-1.71	17.0	17.2	-0.15
Jarrett Jack	35	36	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	-1	7	15.9	16.8	-0.92	17.2	17.0	0.19
Zach Randolph	56	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	-1	7	17.4	14.6	2.76	17.3	16.6	0.65
Sebastian Telfair	38	41	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	-2	9	17.9	15.3	2.62	17.9	16.3	1.52
Steve Blake	48	45	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.19	-2	7	-9	15.3	17.9	-2.62	16.3	17.9	-1.52
Travis Outlaw	20	22	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	4	-3	17.1	16.2	0.87	18.5	16.5	2.00
Juan Dixon	55	54	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.21	-4	9	-13	16.1	17.1	-1.04	16.1	18.7	-2.69
Viktor Khryapa	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	6	-7	17.3	16.0	1.34	17.3	16.9	0.32
Joel Przybilla	38	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	6	-7	17.0	16.0	0.97	17.2	17.0	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.71,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 82, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.96,1	93.2%
CHA 97, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.96,1	92.6%
CLE 95, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.92,1	92.6%