inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 108 Excitement7.1 [432] MVPJuan Dixon (POR): +44.9%
Portland Trail Blazers 113 Comeback1.7 [860] LVPJameer Nelson (ORL): -23.7%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0.200,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.190.040.031871%0.2000.00250%-0.01
Travis Diener0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.180.070.07-0.04779%0.191-0.0100%0.00
Tony Battie0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.140.080.060.00683%0.1400.0000%0.00
Bo Outlaw-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Kelvin Cato-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.01350%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Dwight Howard-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.1,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.040.001657%0.183-0.19367%-0.05
Stacey Augmon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00325%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Pat Garrity-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.030.011145%-0.0400.00771%-0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.240,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.24-0.07-0.150.022042%-0.133-0.115100%0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.37,0.450.450.190.260.011383%0.471-0.024100%0.01
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.130.14-0.001287%0.373-0.1000%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.180.180.150.050.02794%0.201-0.02475%0.01
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.040.00560%0.0700.0000%0.00
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.02440%0.0200.002100%0.02
Viktor Khryapa0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01440%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00250%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Ruben Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.020.02656%0.011-0.04475%-0.02
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00737%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.02-0.060.021847%-0.0600.00475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.831.215.626.02.531.5134.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +53.8%
ORL -4.4%
ORL -13.6%
POR +16.5%
ORL -2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLPORNBAORLPORNBA
this game17.116.415.6125.6131.4104.4
season16.416.6104.499.4
opponent15.715.7109.8105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL16.616.118.217.417.1
POR17.716.618.713.316.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bo Outlaw43-0.02-0.480.450.00-1-4324.216.77.5425.316.19.22
Stacey Augmon2221-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-4318.116.71.4517.016.20.82
Pat Garrity76-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-4313.417.4-3.956.717.2-10.50
Tony Battie3637-0.17-0.330.17-0.08-3-2-117.516.70.8116.716.20.48
Travis Diener3029-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.09-61-716.217.5-1.2712.918.2-5.33
DeShawn Stevenson7171-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.23-3-2-117.514.72.8217.610.76.98
Kelvin Cato4242-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.21-4-1-317.217.00.2116.516.40.14
Dwight Howard7172-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.31-1-4317.116.90.1516.516.00.51
Hedo Turkoglu7071-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.31-1-4316.818.2-1.4616.317.0-0.69
Jameer Nelson7778-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.35-4-1-316.521.7-5.1516.713.43.37

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Theo Ratliff57570.54-0.040.590.347-2915.717.8-2.0617.017.2-0.17
Ruben Patterson53530.50-0.000.510.336-1715.817.5-1.7117.017.2-0.15
Jarrett Jack35360.390.110.270.216-1715.916.8-0.9217.217.00.19
Zach Randolph56560.380.120.260.216-1717.414.62.7617.316.60.65
Sebastian Telfair38410.370.130.250.177-2917.915.32.6217.916.31.52
Steve Blake48450.130.37-0.250.19-27-915.317.9-2.6216.317.9-1.52
Travis Outlaw20220.100.40-0.290.0714-317.116.20.8718.516.52.00
Juan Dixon55540.090.41-0.310.21-49-1316.117.1-1.0416.118.7-2.69
Viktor Khryapa30300.010.49-0.480.04-16-717.316.01.3417.316.90.32
Joel Przybilla3836-0.020.52-0.540.01-16-717.016.00.9717.217.00.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.71,0.85,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 82, SEA 950.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.96,193.2%
CHA 97, LAL 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.96,192.6%
CLE 95, IND 960.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.92,192.6%