NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	82		Excitement	6.8 [425]		MVP	Desmond Mason (SEA): +9.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	95		Comeback	1.7 [944]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -24.0%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.01	15	72%	0.20	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	18	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	6	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryant Reeves	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	4	58%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Ike Austin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	16	57%	0.08	5	-0.18	5	100%	0.04

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.10	0.01	12	52%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	13	57%	0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.03	13	59%	0.09	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	72%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	-0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	4	58%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	6	29%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.10	0.02	15	44%	-0.12	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	48.4	2.0	29.4	14.6	25.2	2.5	32.4	154.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +29.9%

VAN -11.7%

SEA +15.8%

SEA +14.2%

SEA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	SEA	NBA	VAN	SEA	NBA
this game	15.3	16.0	15.5	89.1	103.3	100.9
season	15.6	15.2		97.4	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.2	14.8	15.5	15.8	15.3
SEA	14.8	17.9	15.8	15.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	9	9	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-19	25	15.9	15.3	0.62	18.0	15.8	2.24
Erick Strickland	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-15	17	16.1	15.1	1.07	16.8	15.7	1.07
Grant Long	44	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.23	-13	0	-13	15.9	14.8	1.12	16.5	15.5	1.09
Damon Jones	31	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-6	-1	15.2	15.4	-0.25	16.1	15.9	0.23
Ike Austin	21	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-10	7	15.9	15.2	0.75	18.0	15.4	2.60
Michael Dickerson	74	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-3	-7	15.3	15.6	-0.29	15.6	17.7	-2.10
Bryant Reeves	68	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-7	1	15.3	15.5	-0.24	15.7	16.7	-1.04
Stromile Swift	48	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-13	13	14.8	15.9	-1.12	15.5	16.5	-1.09
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	2	-17	15.1	16.1	-1.07	15.7	16.8	-1.07
Mike Bibby	73	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.08	-19	6	-25	15.3	15.5	-0.25	15.7	16.9	-1.16

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	53	53	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.08	17	-4	21	15.8	16.2	-0.44	15.3	15.4	-0.15
Shammond Williams	56	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	0	13	16.2	15.7	0.47	15.0	15.8	-0.72
Rashard Lewis	80	78	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.02	14	-1	15	15.8	17.2	-1.46	15.1	16.4	-1.22
Desmond Mason	52	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	1	11	16.1	15.8	0.32	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Brent Barry	65	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	6	1	15.9	16.1	-0.19	15.3	15.4	-0.14
Emanual Davis	51	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	7	-1	15.9	16.1	-0.26	15.5	15.1	0.41
Olumide Oyedeji	9	9	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	11	-9	18.6	15.7	2.86	18.2	15.0	3.21
Patrick Ewing	36	37	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	13	-13	15.7	16.2	-0.47	15.8	15.0	0.72
Jelani McCoy	58	58	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	19	-25	16.1	15.9	0.20	15.4	15.3	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 108, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.71,0.85,0.91,1	93.2%
IND 76, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.96,1,1,1	93.0%
POR 74, CLE 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.8%