NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	74		Excitement	6.3 [553]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +12.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Comeback	2.2 [717]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (POR): -25.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	54%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.08	19	40%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Qyntel Woods	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.01	-0.01	23	42%	0.03	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	6	38%	0.00	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	7	20%	-0.24	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.08

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.08	0.03	23	67%	0.27	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	13	38%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	27.2	15.4	25.5	2.5	27.3	121.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +33.1%

CLE +1.9%

CLE +11.6%

POR -5.6%

CLE +9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CLE	NBA	POR	CLE	NBA
this game	18.3	15.0	15.7	85.1	100.0	100.5
season	17.1	15.7		101.5	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.7		102.3	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.2	19.3	18.4	17.4	18.3
CLE	12.6	15.8	14.3	17.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Stepania	42	41	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-14	16	19.3	17.4	1.89	14.4	15.4	-1.01
Dale Davis	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-8	4	19.2	18.2	1.03	10.9	15.4	-4.51
Qyntel Woods	20	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-12	12	15.1	19.3	-4.10	16.9	14.3	2.55
Jeff McInnis	71	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-6	0	18.0	19.9	-1.92	14.7	16.1	-1.42
Wesley Person	36	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-5	-2	18.2	18.4	-0.25	15.2	14.8	0.35
Zach Randolph	76	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-4	-4	18.2	19.0	-0.79	15.0	14.7	0.27
Rasheed Wallace	72	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-1	-10	18.1	19.5	-1.48	14.5	17.0	-2.50
Ruben Patterson	37	37	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	-1	-10	20.7	16.5	4.21	16.4	13.9	2.48
Damon Stoudamire	73	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.17	-15	3	-18	18.1	19.6	-1.59	15.0	14.9	0.13

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	55	58	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.15	14	-2	16	15.1	14.7	0.40	18.4	18.1	0.26
LeBron James	69	71	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	1	10	14.7	15.9	-1.14	18.4	17.9	0.46
Carlos Boozer	67	67	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.07	14	-2	16	15.6	12.8	2.73	18.4	17.9	0.53
Tony Battie	59	61	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	6	0	14.9	15.1	-0.16	18.0	19.1	-1.09
Darius Miles	45	43	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	8	-4	14.1	15.9	-1.84	18.6	18.0	0.63
Kedrick Brown	47	46	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	6	0	15.4	14.5	0.92	18.7	17.9	0.77
Kevin Ollie	34	36	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	6	0	15.6	14.6	0.98	17.6	18.8	-1.19
Ira Newble	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	12	-12	15.4	14.7	0.79	18.0	18.5	-0.56
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	20	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	13	-14	12.6	15.7	-3.02	18.7	18.2	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 89, NOP 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.1%
MIL 104, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1	92.9%
VAN 82, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.96,1	92.8%