inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 89 Excitement7.1 [394] MVPTyreke Evans (NOP): +50.3%
New Orleans Pelicans 101 Comeback1.9 [214] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -22.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.190.130.04-0.01986%0.232-0.054100%0.02
Andre Roberson0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.060.090.003100%0.1500.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0.140,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.140.100.050.011361%0.1400.001080%0.02
Steven Adams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.03-0.01275%0.042-0.0700%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.040.00837%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.01-0.01540%0.023-0.0700%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.07-0.08-0.02725%-0.081-0.062100%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha-0.160,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.06-0.0050%-0.091-0.0600%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.220,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.15,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.11-0.110.002348%-0.067-0.16667%-0.05

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyreke Evans0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.50.500.190.29-0.032660%0.501-0.001675%0.03
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.03775%0.0800.00250%0.00
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.000.01480%0.0700.002100%0.01
Alexis Ajinca0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.000.02583%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Melvin Ely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
James Southerland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00217%-0.0400.00250%-0.02
Jeff Withey0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.01644%0.011-0.05667%-0.01
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.021035%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Darius Miller0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.070.010.011242%0.033-0.1000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.07-0.070.00425%-0.072-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.434.616.528.32.534.6142.1
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +26.9%
NOP +6.3%
OKC -10.5%
NOP +26.1%
NOP +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCNOPNBAOKCNOPNBA
this game14.116.515.193.7108.6105.2
season14.415.5107.8105.6
opponent15.315.4108.5102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC16.612.517.411.314.1
NOP19.417.715.314.416.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Lamb22210.12-0.620.73-0.004-162014.514.00.4318.516.02.57
Nick Collison14130.02-0.520.54-0.011-131415.913.82.0318.216.31.97
Steven Adams35-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-12129.314.3-4.9517.616.51.12
Thabo Sefolosha4544-0.11-0.390.280.04-5-7215.712.73.0517.116.11.01
Andre Roberson1415-0.18-0.320.14-0.07-4-8412.114.5-2.4115.216.8-1.59
Kendrick Perkins4140-0.19-0.310.110.01-7-5-215.413.22.1817.915.52.43
Reggie Jackson5655-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.10-8-4-412.816.0-3.1416.117.2-1.18
Caron Butler5655-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.21-5-7213.315.3-1.9615.917.5-1.63
Derek Fisher5957-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.14-10-2-813.814.7-0.8716.017.4-1.34
Serge Ibaka8178-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.14-11-1-1014.114.4-0.2716.317.9-1.58
Kevin Durant8482-0.550.05-0.60-0.11-153-1814.511.52.9216.417.9-1.56

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darius Miller73740.63-0.130.770.1317-52216.417.0-0.5913.915.0-1.18
Luke Babbitt53540.59-0.090.670.2113-11414.818.9-4.1513.614.8-1.19
Jeff Withey67650.55-0.050.600.1713-11416.815.81.0713.315.8-2.49
Tyreke Evans83840.480.020.460.161111016.418.0-1.6413.915.7-1.81
Anthony Morrow60610.450.050.400.2866017.415.02.3414.313.90.38
Austin Rivers25250.070.43-0.35-0.0139-619.115.63.5315.613.61.95
James Southerland1314-0.010.51-0.53-0.01012-1214.216.9-2.6815.613.91.69
Melvin Ely1618-0.080.58-0.660.04-416-2016.716.50.1817.113.43.68
Alexis Ajinca3336-0.080.58-0.66-0.14210-817.815.91.8915.413.42.03
Al-Farouq Aminu4244-0.100.60-0.70-0.07-113-1415.917.1-1.2413.015.1-2.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.89,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 106, DEN 1130.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.95,0.98,1,193.6%
POR 74, CLE 860.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,193.1%
CLE 92, MIN 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.96,0.97,1,193.1%