inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 92 Excitement6.7 [451] MVPFred Hoiberg (MIN): +25.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves 103 Comeback2.1 [751] LVPLeBron James (CLE): -18.6%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff McInnis0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.011470%0.185-0.152100%0.01
DeSagana Diop0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ira Newble0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevin Ollie-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00350%-0.0200.00475%0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.040.021162%0.084-0.10757%-0.02
Eric Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00750%0.011-0.04475%-0.00
Carlos Boozer-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.030.001350%-0.0400.00887%0.00
Dajuan Wagner-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.040.00633%-0.0600.0000%0.00
LeBron James-0.190,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19-0.15-0.07-0.031835%-0.073-0.11425%-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.100.160.004125%0.301-0.0400%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.10.100.110.020.032956%0.1000.00475%-0.00
Latrell Sprewell0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.020.022252%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Oliver Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.00567%0.071-0.042100%0.02
Sam Cassell0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.01-0.04955%0.053-0.074100%0.02
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.010.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.02
Trenton Hassell0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01450%0.011-0.054100%0.03
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.0400.0020%-0.02
Gary Trent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00150%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Darrick Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.06-0.00825%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.829.216.427.41.825.4124.9
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +22.6%
MIN +3.9%
MIN +12.9%
MIN +10.1%
MIN +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMINNBACLEMINNBA
this game17.115.515.7105.7114.4100.5
season15.715.699.8103.2
opponent16.115.598.4102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE17.916.615.418.917.1
MIN15.016.912.918.115.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dajuan Wagner26260.17-0.670.83-0.1611-223318.616.42.1918.014.53.53
Ira Newble990.15-0.650.80-0.057-182513.417.5-4.0618.215.23.04
Kevin Ollie2121-0.02-0.480.46-0.144-151917.916.81.0216.715.11.60
DeSagana Diop2828-0.07-0.430.35-0.101-121318.516.42.0416.714.91.78
Eric Williams6567-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-132-1516.618.5-1.9614.817.4-2.61
Zydrunas Ilgauskas6568-0.540.04-0.58-0.04-176-2316.618.5-1.9015.017.1-2.18
Carlos Boozer7174-0.560.06-0.61-0.20-121-1316.918.0-1.1315.216.8-1.61
LeBron James8083-0.600.10-0.70-0.13-165-2117.412.94.5915.416.4-1.02
Jeff McInnis7074-0.640.14-0.78-0.05-209-2916.917.9-1.0014.918.1-3.13

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sam Cassell69660.58-0.080.660.1116-52115.515.40.1417.117.1-0.02
Mark Madsen36350.470.030.450.151101116.514.81.6918.216.31.83
Latrell Sprewell75730.470.030.440.2092715.814.11.7116.420.5-4.08
Fred Hoiberg39390.370.130.240.1483516.614.62.0317.217.00.13
Kevin Garnett79740.350.150.200.06101915.217.8-2.6517.117.10.00
Trenton Hassell66620.160.34-0.180.0156-114.518.2-3.7717.815.32.53
Ervin Johnson23220.110.39-0.28-0.0665113.916.0-2.1217.017.1-0.05
Gary Trent20220.100.40-0.310.18-314-1718.714.64.1317.117.10.07
Oliver Miller2221-0.030.53-0.560.03-213-1513.716.1-2.3315.217.7-2.43
Darrick Martin2121-0.080.58-0.660.07-516-2115.415.5-0.1417.117.10.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.96,0.97,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 87, PHX 1020.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.95,1,1,193.4%
CHA 73, NOH 890.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.93,1,1,193.3%
TOR 85, NYK 920.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.96,193.2%