NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	85		Excitement	7.5 [314]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +16.3%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	2.4 [556]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -35.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	19	47%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Dell Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	13	56%	0.09	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.08
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.08
Charles Oakley	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	13	46%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.35	-0.29	-0.09	-0.03	22	27%	-0.18	5	-0.17	5	60%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.02	16	64%	0.20	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.01	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	12	59%	0.06	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	48%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	12	43%	-0.05	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.7	30.1	17.8	30.0	2.5	41.5	147.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.4%

NYK +13.5%

TOR -5.1%

NYK +12.9%

NYK +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.5	92.4	98.9	100.9
season	15.8	16.4		103.7	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.4		96.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.1	15.0	16.7	15.0	15.2
NYK	17.2	17.8	14.7	14.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	22	22	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.08	7	-14	21	14.6	15.4	-0.74	19.2	14.9	4.25
Dell Curry	31	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-4	1	16.2	14.7	1.46	15.4	16.2	-0.76
Morris Peterson	43	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	14.5	15.8	-1.24	16.0	15.9	0.03
Alvin Williams	82	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	14.7	19.6	-4.94	15.2	21.2	-5.95
Vince Carter	88	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-4	1	15.0	19.5	-4.50	16.0	13.5	2.54
Chris Childs	35	37	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	1	-9	16.3	14.5	1.71	16.1	15.9	0.20
Antonio Davis	88	89	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	-1	-5	15.1	16.5	-1.36	16.0	14.5	1.50
Charles Oakley	71	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	5	-17	15.8	13.3	2.47	15.7	16.8	-1.10

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	81	79	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.27	12	-5	17	15.0	22.5	-7.54	15.5	13.6	1.84
Charlie Ward	42	40	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	-1	9	15.5	16.3	-0.71	15.9	14.6	1.33
Kurt Thomas	72	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-4	15	16.0	15.9	0.10	16.0	12.1	3.89
Latrell Sprewell	77	77	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	3	1	16.1	15.1	0.98	14.4	19.2	-4.78
Glen Rice	35	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	6	-5	15.9	16.0	-0.13	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Mark Jackson	51	52	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	8	-9	16.3	15.5	0.71	14.6	15.9	-1.33
Othella Harrington	23	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	10	-13	18.8	15.0	3.78	13.0	16.0	-2.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.2%
HOU 106, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.2%
NOH 76, POR 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	92.6%