NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	87		Excitement	7.0 [400]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +16.8%
Phoenix Suns	102		Comeback	2.1 [729]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -22.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	9	70%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	67%	0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	0.05	-0.05	16	42%	0.09	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
Eric Piatkowski	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.04	0.02	16	28%	-0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.15,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.17	-0.06	-0.01	13	42%	-0.01	6	-0.22	7	43%	-0.05

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.12	-0.03	19	54%	0.19	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	7	75%	0.15	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	0.00	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.06	-0.02	18	43%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.08	4	75%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.03	14	74%	0.11	6	-0.16	6	83%	-0.03
Jahidi White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	36%	-0.05	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.5	31.3	15.7	24.7	2.8	34.1	132.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +58.4%

HOU -19.0%

HOU -19.8%

PHX +26.7%

PHX +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	14.1	15.7	90.6	108.5	100.5
season	16.5	14.6		98.8	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.6		103.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.9	14.4	16.3	18.5	16.2
PHX	13.4	12.3	15.0	16.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	18	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	17.8	15.8	2.00	12.2	14.6	-2.32
Kelvin Cato	74	73	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-14	13	15.3	19.1	-3.87	14.2	13.8	0.48
Eric Piatkowski	45	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-12	9	15.8	16.5	-0.67	13.1	15.0	-1.88
Yao Ming	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-10	5	17.9	15.1	2.86	15.3	13.4	1.94
Cuttino Mobley	79	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-6	-3	16.3	15.6	0.69	14.8	11.1	3.69
Jim Jackson	82	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	3	-21	15.4	20.4	-5.00	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Steve Francis	78	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	1	-17	15.8	17.8	-2.00	14.6	12.2	2.32
Maurice Taylor	68	66	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.10	-24	9	-33	17.1	13.7	3.40	13.4	15.8	-2.35

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	83	85	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.00	25	-10	35	14.1	14.5	-0.46	16.6	13.1	3.46
Shawn Marion	76	80	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.03	19	-4	23	14.4	13.0	1.41	16.9	12.2	4.69
Casey Jacobsen	46	46	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	1	13	14.7	13.6	1.01	16.2	16.1	0.12
Jake Voskuhl	27	30	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	2	11	13.1	14.6	-1.49	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Anfernee Hardaway	61	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.21	17	-2	19	12.9	16.5	-3.62	15.1	18.2	-3.13
Joe Johnson	75	75	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	12	-9	14.5	12.8	1.62	16.1	16.4	-0.29
Jahidi White	61	60	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.26	-7	22	-29	14.0	14.3	-0.25	16.7	15.2	1.54
Scott Williams	21	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	12	-9	17.7	13.1	4.54	15.7	16.3	-0.51
Leandro Barbosa	20	21	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.10	-12	27	-39	12.8	14.5	-1.70	14.7	16.6	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 74, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.96,1	93.6%
CLE 92, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.4%
CHA 73, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	92.7%