NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	109		Excitement	7.8 [285]		MVP	Kevin Martin (HOU): +45.2%
Houston Rockets	114		Comeback	5.5 [404]		LVP	Courtney Lee (HOU): -11.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.14	0.05	0.10	0.01	16	54%	0.18	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	6	79%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	5	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0	0.04	-0.04	-0.01	13	52%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Kirk Hinrich	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	3	83%	0.07	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	17	41%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.14,0.05,-0.07,-0.16,-0.08	0.03	-0.11	-0.01	19	62%	0.21	5	-0.28	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.45	0.45	0.17	0.27	-0.01	19	69%	0.52	3	-0.07	13	92%	0.10
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	5	80%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	9	86%	0.20	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	8	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	12	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.23,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.08	0.01	10	65%	0.31	5	-0.26	3	33%	-0.06
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	7	29%	-0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.0	30.2	15.6	22.2	2.3	35.4	133.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +26.4%

HOU +25.7%

ATL -2.0%

HOU +4.5%

ATL -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	HOU	NBA	ATL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.5	116.0	120.0	105.7
season	16.5	15.2		104.0	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.5		107.5	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	12.8	19.5	15.6	15.6
HOU	14.8	14.9	14.1	15.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	28	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-9	13	14.5	16.1	-1.63	16.7	14.1	2.56
Jeff Teague	42	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-7	9	13.6	17.2	-3.68	15.4	14.5	0.95
Marvin Williams	50	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	7	-19	15.8	15.3	0.50	14.4	15.4	-1.08
Josh Smith	74	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-5	5	15.8	14.9	0.90	14.2	17.2	-3.01
Jamal Crawford	66	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.40	4	-9	13	14.7	17.6	-2.90	15.0	14.6	0.33
Kirk Hinrich	50	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-1	-3	17.2	13.8	3.45	14.5	15.3	-0.82
Joe Johnson	82	83	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	4	-13	15.8	14.3	1.46	14.7	16.0	-1.29
Al Horford	78	80	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	5	-15	16.3	12.3	3.97	15.2	13.0	2.23

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	81	79	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.35	12	-7	19	14.6	16.5	-1.91	16.1	13.3	2.78
Kyle Lowry	80	80	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-6	17	14.5	16.6	-2.05	15.9	14.1	1.80
Kevin Martin	86	85	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-3	11	14.9	15.0	-0.14	15.8	13.9	1.90
Luis Scola	62	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	0	5	14.2	16.1	-1.87	16.3	14.3	2.01
Chase Budinger	56	57	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	-6	17	13.7	16.5	-2.82	15.5	15.8	-0.29
Courtney Lee	50	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.39	-6	11	-17	15.7	14.0	1.70	14.8	16.5	-1.69
Patrick Patterson	31	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	7	-9	17.0	13.8	3.16	15.2	15.8	-0.62
Goran Dragic	15	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	11	-17	16.6	14.5	2.05	14.1	15.9	-1.80
Jordan Hill	14	15	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	13	-21	16.5	14.6	1.91	13.3	16.1	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 106, LAC 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.7,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.62,0.79,0.9,0.98,1	91.3%
OKC 104, POR 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.47,0.62,0.71,0.85,0.73,1	91.1%
MIN 104, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.85,1	91.1%