NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Excitement	11.0 [35]		MVP	Mirza Teletovic (PHX): +73.4%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	3.6 [383]		LVP	Brandon Knight (PHX): -31.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.46	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.46,0.46	0.22	0.26	0.01	15	78%	0.48	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.39	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.39	0.12	0.29	0.01	14	69%	0.42	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ricky Rubio	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.16	-0.05	0.21	-0.00	11	46%	0.26	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.16
Gorgui Dieng	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	8	52%	0.10	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.05,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	13	52%	0.11	3	-0.12	7	71%	-0.02
Adreian Payne	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23	-0.07	-0.17	-0.00	13	38%	-0.10	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.34,0.73	0.73	0.14	0.59	0.00	12	81%	0.82	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.11	0.01	7	74%	0.20	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	18	61%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28,-0.33,-0.33,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.07	0.01	14	52%	0.37	6	-0.38	3	100%	0.05
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	5	29%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Alex Len	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	8	45%	0.01	5	-0.16	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0,0,-0.1,-0.16,-0.2,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.32	-0.32	-0.20	-0.13	-0.01	18	22%	-0.19	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	32.0	15.8	26.7	1.8	40.2	144.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +69.6%

MIN -42.7%

PHX +57.2%

MIN -35.9%

PHX +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	12.6	14.2	14.9	96.3	100.0	105.1
season	14.8	14.4		104.8	100.9
opponent	14.4	15.0		107.4	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	11.7	12.8	15.0	11.0	12.6
PHX	13.1	14.9	13.2	15.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shabazz Muhammad	51	51	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.14	8	-11	19	12.6	12.5	0.12	14.7	13.8	0.86
Adreian Payne	5	5	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.03	2	-5	7	15.4	12.4	2.95	11.6	14.3	-2.74
Gorgui Dieng	73	72	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-4	5	13.4	11.0	2.38	14.1	14.4	-0.32
Ricky Rubio	79	81	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.41	12	-15	27	11.9	14.4	-2.55	15.4	10.6	4.81
Andrew Wiggins	91	91	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.35	4	-7	11	12.2	14.5	-2.24	14.7	11.7	2.97
Tayshaun Prince	45	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-6	9	12.4	12.7	-0.31	14.5	14.0	0.42
Tyus Jones	29	26	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	12	-27	14.4	11.9	2.55	10.6	15.4	-4.81
Zach LaVine	72	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	5	-13	12.1	13.5	-1.37	14.3	14.1	0.19
Nemanja Bjelica	16	16	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	12	-27	13.5	12.4	1.08	9.9	15.0	-5.10
Karl-Anthony Towns	79	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	4	-11	12.4	13.1	-0.71	14.4	13.8	0.53

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	94	96	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.32	16	-13	29	13.6	18.6	-5.01	12.8	10.5	2.34
Brandon Knight	89	90	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-6	15	14.5	12.6	1.93	12.7	12.2	0.50
PJ Tucker	90	91	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-4	11	14.5	12.9	1.58	12.5	13.0	-0.49
Mirza Teletovic	71	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	1	1	13.4	15.8	-2.40	11.8	14.1	-2.24
Alex Len	56	56	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.23	2	1	1	14.5	13.9	0.52	13.0	12.1	0.87
Tyson Chandler	64	64	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	3	-3	15.6	12.1	3.51	12.9	12.1	0.83
Jon Leuer	23	25	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	1	1	12.2	14.8	-2.60	13.0	12.5	0.49
Chase Budinger	17	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	7	-11	12.9	14.5	-1.58	13.0	12.5	0.49
Ronnie Price	10	9	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	12	-21	13.9	14.2	-0.35	10.0	12.8	-2.82
Archie Goodwin	21	21	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.07	-10	13	-23	15.7	13.8	1.87	12.1	12.7	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.38,0.63,0.47,0.54,0.82,0.85,0.72,0.57,0.96,1	92.1%
DAL 85, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.45,0.76,0.9,1	91.7%
DET 85, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.96,1	91.7%