inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 85 Excitement7.0 [404] MVPLaPhonso Ellis (MIA): +25.8%
Miami Heat 88 Comeback4.5 [119] LVPClifford Robinson (DET): -15.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0.05-0.010.05-0.011646%0.0500.007100%0.07
Chucky Atkins0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.00-0.00487%0.101-0.0500%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.00837%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Michael Curry-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00250%-0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Ben Wallace-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Corliss Williamson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.00643%-0.013-0.072100%0.01
Jon Barry-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08-0.02-0.060.00433%-0.0800.0010%-0.02
Richard Hamilton-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.07-0.001457%-0.032-0.061493%0.04
Clifford Robinson-0.160,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16-0.04-0.120.001747%-0.082-0.08475%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.100.15-0.006100%0.281-0.0200%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.040.011465%0.1200.006100%0.04
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.030.00756%0.0500.002100%0.02
Rasual Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.02,0.020.02-0.090.10-0.001347%0.093-0.07862%0.01
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.00656%0.0100.00633%-0.05
Sean Lampley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.00050%-0.0300.00250%-0.03
Malik Allen0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.01743%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01650%0.043-0.1000%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.03-0.03930%-0.042-0.0720%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.72.726.515.024.12.540.2140.7
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +68.2%
DET -7.9%
DET -12.7%
MIA +3.7%
DET -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMIANBADETMIANBA
this game17.815.915.598.8103.5101.6
season16.816.3101.794.6
opponent15.915.6100.797.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.420.018.118.017.8
MIA15.916.016.115.415.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corliss Williamson34330.03-0.530.56-0.125-81321.015.75.2215.716.0-0.26
Chucky Atkins2929-0.00-0.500.49-0.186-91521.715.95.8015.815.9-0.15
Mehmet Okur3434-0.01-0.490.48-0.134-71120.316.24.1014.916.5-1.68
Jon Barry3837-0.21-0.280.07-0.427-101718.517.31.1815.616.1-0.47
Michael Curry3030-0.23-0.270.040.03-96-1516.818.4-1.5616.115.70.42
Clifford Robinson7070-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.431-4517.220.7-3.5316.114.91.20
Chauncey Billups5756-0.540.04-0.58-0.28-96-1515.921.7-5.8015.915.80.15
Ben Wallace6866-0.550.05-0.60-0.23-118-1917.219.9-2.6916.214.81.31
Richard Hamilton7070-0.580.08-0.67-0.32-96-1516.424.2-7.8316.015.40.56

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caron Butler79790.69-0.190.880.4010-71715.817.2-1.4117.224.6-7.36
Brian Grant61620.50-0.000.500.384-1515.915.70.2716.122.3-6.27
Eddie House12140.470.030.450.306-3913.916.2-2.2620.117.42.70
Rasual Butler69680.430.070.360.208-51315.816.1-0.2516.522.7-6.21
Vladimir Stepania49490.390.110.270.3030315.815.9-0.1519.715.34.42
LaPhonso Ellis26270.140.36-0.210.1212-114.516.4-1.9021.016.44.64
Mike James48480.100.40-0.300.16-25-716.415.21.1919.715.44.24
Anthony Carter41420.040.46-0.430.21-69-1515.915.80.0817.018.6-1.54
Malik Allen3434-0.080.58-0.65-0.02-25-716.815.21.6115.719.2-3.44
Sean Lampley67-0.190.69-0.880.01-710-1717.215.81.4124.617.27.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 85, HOU 900.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.94,0.99,192.1%
MIN 104, PHX 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.85,191.7%
SAS 75, SAC 810.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,191.7%