NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	8.3 [213]		MVP	CJ Miles (IND): +28.1%
Indiana Pacers	104		Comeback	2.9 [357]		LVP	Charlie Villanueva (DAL): -12.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.07	0.01	14	59%	0.18	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	20	60%	0.22	3	-0.17	5	60%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	12	42%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.00	13	61%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	6	64%	0.02	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	5	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Charlie Villanueva	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	5	30%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.28	0.28	0.24	0.10	0.05	12	93%	0.34	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.10	-0.01	10	58%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.07
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	12	58%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	14	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	62%	0.04	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	30%	-0.05	1	-0.05	4	25%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	30.5	16.3	29.3	2.4	32.7	140.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +43.1%

IND +3.3%

DAL -0.9%

IND +3.7%

IND +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	IND	NBA	DAL	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	14.6	15.1	98.0	105.1	104.2
season	14.6	16.0		107.6	102.3
opponent	15.0	15.0		102.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.5	11.4	15.0	13.8	14.2
IND	12.8	17.4	12.7	15.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	33	32	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.06	9	-14	23	12.5	15.0	-2.43	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Al-Farouq Aminu	34	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-8	11	13.8	14.4	-0.53	12.7	15.6	-2.94
Tyson Chandler	56	56	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-7	9	14.5	13.8	0.64	15.9	13.0	2.88
Amar'e Stoudemire	43	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-3	1	14.3	14.1	0.30	13.2	15.7	-2.48
Devin Harris	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.32	2	-7	9	13.4	15.2	-1.78	14.1	15.3	-1.22
Charlie Villanueva	22	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	0	-5	13.9	14.3	-0.40	16.1	14.2	1.96
Rajon Rondo	77	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	1	-7	14.5	13.0	1.49	15.4	12.2	3.25
Chandler Parsons	74	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	1	-7	14.4	13.5	0.90	15.3	12.9	2.39
Richard Jefferson	36	34	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	10	-25	15.7	13.3	2.44	13.6	15.2	-1.58
Dirk Nowitzki	73	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.34	-7	2	-9	14.1	14.5	-0.40	14.4	15.2	-0.82

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	35	36	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.41	15	-10	25	13.1	15.5	-2.34	15.1	13.7	1.41
George Hill	72	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	-3	11	15.3	12.9	2.39	14.6	13.1	1.51
CJ Watson	49	50	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	5	-5	14.4	14.8	-0.35	14.0	14.4	-0.39
Rodney Stuckey	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	1	3	13.8	16.1	-2.21	14.6	13.5	1.05
David West	57	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	-1	7	14.8	14.4	0.34	14.3	14.0	0.39
Luis Scola	48	50	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.19	1	4	-3	14.2	15.0	-0.73	13.1	15.2	-2.10
CJ Miles	57	57	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	3	-1	15.4	13.6	1.83	14.1	14.3	-0.17
Solomon Hill	28	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	2	1	15.1	14.4	0.72	13.8	14.3	-0.49
Damjan Rudez	27	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	7	-9	12.9	15.3	-2.39	13.1	14.6	-1.51
Lavoy Allen	8	7	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	12	-19	16.4	14.5	1.90	11.7	14.4	-2.65
Roy Hibbert	50	51	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	10	-15	15.6	13.6	1.97	14.7	13.6	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.38,0.63,0.47,0.54,0.82,0.85,0.72,0.57,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 104, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.85,1	92.1%
SEA 102, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.7,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.78,0.98,1	91.1%
SAS 88, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.84,0.85,1	90.8%