NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	8.6 [146]		MVP	James Robinson (LAC): +20.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	4.1 [552]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CLE): -22.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Robinson	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.09	0.11	-0.00	18	67%	0.32	3	-0.12	3	33%	-0.02
Lamond Murray	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	17	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pooh Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Darrick Martin	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	11	17%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Ike Austin	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19	-0.01	-0.17	0.01	17	62%	0.10	5	-0.29	5	80%	0.05
Lorenzen Wright	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2	-0.14	-0.09	-0.02	9	36%	-0.07	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	14	57%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	6	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.23,-0.19,-0.09,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	12	61%	0.17	3	-0.14	17	65%	-0.07
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	7	50%	-0.06	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	0.01	7	39%	-0.13	1	-0.09	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.6	28.2	15.7	61.5	37.2	65.5	232.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +6.8%

CLE +4.0%

CLE +6.6%

CLE +18.7%

CLE +13.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CLE	NBA	LAC	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.6	101.1	106.8	102.5
season	15.5	15.4		101.0	99.4
opponent	16.0	15.1		97.0	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.4	17.4	18.9	14.9	16.5
CLE	14.6	14.5	20.1	13.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stojko Vrankovic	30	27	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.13	6	-7	13	16.2	16.6	-0.41	14.7	15.8	-1.10
James Robinson	80	76	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.37	12	-13	25	16.2	18.2	-2.04	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Pooh Richardson	48	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.46	8	-9	17	16.1	16.9	-0.78	14.2	17.0	-2.81
Charles Smith	19	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	2	-5	17.2	16.3	0.86	16.0	15.4	0.64
Darrick Martin	44	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	8	-17	16.9	16.1	0.78	17.0	14.2	2.81
Ike Austin	68	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	7	-15	16.8	15.5	1.38	15.8	14.6	1.22
Lorenzen Wright	86	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	2	-5	16.3	19.2	-2.88	15.5	15.3	0.18
Lamond Murray	85	81	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.64	-8	7	-15	16.6	15.3	1.29	15.4	16.1	-0.70

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	64	67	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.27	16	-15	31	15.7	15.0	0.69	17.1	14.9	2.14
Wesley Person	76	81	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.59	0	1	-1	15.5	15.7	-0.29	15.9	20.9	-5.03
Brevin Knight	52	54	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	-2	5	15.7	15.2	0.52	16.5	16.5	0.01
Cedric Henderson	67	69	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.25	3	-2	5	15.7	14.7	1.03	17.4	13.6	3.88
Shawn Kemp	51	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	-1	3	14.4	17.1	-2.68	17.3	15.1	2.25
Derek Anderson	41	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	5	-9	15.5	15.5	0.07	16.2	16.7	-0.57
Bob Sura	30	31	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	7	-13	13.9	16.3	-2.38	16.0	16.7	-0.67
Danny Ferry	33	33	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	6	-11	17.4	14.4	3.03	15.5	17.0	-1.50
Vitaly Potapenko	26	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	5	-9	15.7	15.4	0.22	14.7	17.2	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.6,0.4,0.38,0.72,0.57,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.21,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.91,1	90.1%
BOS 93, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.43,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.53,0.71,0.54,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.96,1	89.6%
OKC 115, DAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.54,0.85,0.57,0.92,1	89.4%