NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	118		Excitement	7.4 [377]		MVP	Andre Drummond (CHI): +32.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	110		Comeback	4.0 [439]		LVP	Trey Jemison (MEM): -12.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33	0.16	0.18	0.01	11	84%	0.35	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.19	0.11	-0.01	17	77%	0.34	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	5	100%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.05	0.05	0.03	4	54%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jevon Carter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	19	49%	0.12	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Torrey Craig	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.04	12	67%	0.09	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.09	0.03	18	64%	0.22	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	10	71%	0.15	1	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Jacob Gilyard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	13	58%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.02	22	57%	0.15	4	-0.16	5	40%	-0.04
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.00	10	62%	0.05	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Tosan Evbuomwan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Jemison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	4	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	24.2	14.5	25.4	2.4	41.5	133.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +36.8%

CHI +16.9%

MEM -9.2%

CHI +3.6%

CHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MEM	NBA	CHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.2	16.2	14.5	124.2	115.8	113.9
season	14.5	14.8		113.4	106.3
opponent	14.3	15.0		113.2	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.6	13.4	15.0	12.8	14.2
MEM	16.3	15.4	17.0	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	78	77	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.30	19	-11	30	14.2	14.1	0.05	16.0	16.8	-0.83
Andre Drummond	61	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	1	6	14.6	13.4	1.12	16.2	16.1	0.05
Coby White	73	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	1	6	14.5	13.2	1.27	15.6	17.7	-2.07
DeMar DeRozan	75	75	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.31	2	6	-4	14.5	12.9	1.53	15.9	17.1	-1.26
Alex Caruso	59	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	8	-8	13.7	15.0	-1.31	15.0	18.1	-3.10
Torrey Craig	32	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	1	6	13.6	14.4	-0.80	16.9	15.8	1.08
Julian Phillips	14	15	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	4	0	13.6	14.2	-0.60	17.9	15.8	2.03
Ayo Dosunmu	53	54	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	9	-10	13.9	14.5	-0.57	17.0	15.1	1.87
Jevon Carter	30	30	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.05	-5	13	-18	14.0	14.2	-0.18	17.7	15.5	2.21

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Konchar	57	56	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.01	6	-14	20	17.0	14.9	2.15	15.6	12.0	3.62
Tosan Evbuomwan	13	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-6	4	20.8	15.4	5.43	13.8	14.2	-0.45
Trey Jemison	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-5	2	18.1	15.3	2.79	13.6	14.4	-0.77
Jacob Gilyard	42	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-5	2	16.2	16.2	0.02	12.7	15.3	-2.59
Scotty Pippen Jr.	57	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.34	-2	-6	4	15.3	17.4	-2.06	14.5	13.6	0.97
Jaren Jackson Jr.	61	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	0	-8	16.0	16.5	-0.49	15.0	12.6	2.49
Santi Aldama	72	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	-2	-4	15.8	17.2	-1.34	14.5	13.0	1.43
GG Jackson	68	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	5	-18	16.1	16.3	-0.14	12.8	17.1	-4.29
Vince Williams Jr.	75	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	1	-10	15.0	20.3	-5.31	14.0	14.9	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.8,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.35,0.25,0.07,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.53,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.03,0,0	92.6%
SAS 112, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.5,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.59,0.68,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.31,0.05,0.05,0,0	92.4%
SAS 92, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.04,0.04,0	92.3%