NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Excitement	8.4 [225]		MVP	Santi Aldama (MEM): +23.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	101		Comeback	4.0 [628]		LVP	David Roddy (MEM): -25.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Merrill	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.10	0.00	6	75%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	8	61%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Caris LeVert	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	10	67%	0.17	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Dean Wade	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.02	19	60%	0.17	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.01
Damian Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	64%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Darius Garland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	0.00	10	45%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Georges Niang	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.09	-0.03	12	75%	0.30	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Gilyard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Jemison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.03	10	65%	0.15	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.06
John Konchar	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	23	50%	0.04	5	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.07	0.02	14	31%	-0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.04
David Roddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.15	-0.10	0.00	12	8%	-0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.3	26.6	15.4	28.6	2.5	33.7	133.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +52.9%

MEM -4.0%

CLE +2.2%

CLE +3.4%

MEM -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	14.0	15.1	14.5	108.0	103.1	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		113.0	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.7		113.2	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.8	15.5	12.7	15.1	14.0
MEM	12.9	13.3	19.5	15.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	59	57	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.24	19	-12	31	13.0	15.3	-2.31	16.3	13.5	2.77
Donovan Mitchell	69	69	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.03	16	-9	25	12.9	16.4	-3.54	15.7	13.7	2.03
Isaac Okoro	45	42	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	0	7	13.3	14.5	-1.18	15.4	14.9	0.49
Max Strus	63	62	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-6	19	12.9	15.9	-3.03	15.0	15.3	-0.25
Darius Garland	50	51	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	5	-3	14.1	13.8	0.32	15.0	15.3	-0.30
Jarrett Allen	45	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	1	5	13.4	14.4	-1.01	14.0	16.1	-2.12
Caris LeVert	60	57	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.42	-11	18	-29	15.5	11.6	3.93	13.7	17.1	-3.48
Georges Niang	45	43	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	14	-21	15.6	12.6	2.99	14.5	15.6	-1.09
Sam Merrill	33	34	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	12	-17	16.5	12.8	3.69	15.5	14.9	0.58
Damian Jones	31	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	12	-17	13.9	14.0	-0.06	16.6	14.5	2.03

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Jemison	28	29	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-11	15	14.1	15.5	-1.42	14.7	13.7	1.05
David Roddy	37	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.10	2	-9	11	15.6	14.9	0.72	14.4	13.8	0.60
Jacob Gilyard	44	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-8	9	15.2	15.0	0.23	14.3	13.7	0.64
Scotty Pippen Jr.	48	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-5	3	15.2	15.1	0.09	13.9	14.0	-0.12
GG Jackson	55	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-9	11	15.0	15.3	-0.36	14.7	13.0	1.74
Vince Williams Jr.	64	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	3	-13	15.8	13.9	1.90	13.0	15.9	-2.89
John Konchar	67	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	1	-9	14.7	16.0	-1.28	13.7	14.6	-0.87
Jaren Jackson Jr.	70	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	4	-15	15.5	14.1	1.42	13.7	14.7	-1.05
Santi Aldama	77	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	6	-19	14.7	16.6	-1.84	14.2	13.2	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.66,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.45,0.36,0.23,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 121, NOP 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.32,0.45,0.16,0.01,0	92.1%
MIN 95, LAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	91.2%
MIA 84, MIL 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.45,0.06,0,0	91.0%