NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	121		Excitement	7.1 [434]		MVP	James Ennis (NOP): +36.8%
New Orleans Pelicans	116		Comeback	6.1 [96]		LVP	Luke Babbitt (NOP): -18.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.23,0.31,0.33	0.09	0.23	-0.00	11	79%	0.41	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.07	-0.01	7	81%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cristiano Felicio	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.06	0.00	8	80%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Justin Holiday	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.01	8	87%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	7	80%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.06	0.01	10	45%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	15	53%	0.07	4	-0.12	8	75%	-0.04

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Ennis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37	0.37	0.24	0.14	0.02	14	83%	0.40	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	13	75%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.01	15	51%	0.15	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.01	0.06	10	65%	0.08	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	10	30%	-0.09	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	28.2	16.0	27.2	1.8	32.3	131.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +33.1%

CHI +7.8%

CHI +2.8%

CHI +6.6%

NOP -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NOP	NBA	CHI	NOP	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	14.9	131.5	127.5	105.1
season	14.8	14.3		103.7	104.3
opponent	15.0	14.9		107.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.3	14.0	16.2	15.8	15.6
NOP	15.0	16.7	15.1	16.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Mirotic	71	71	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-3	11	15.4	16.1	-0.72	16.1	15.1	0.95
Bobby Portis	54	54	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	1	3	15.5	15.7	-0.17	16.1	15.6	0.54
Justin Holiday	49	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	-3	11	15.4	15.8	-0.38	16.6	15.1	1.49
Doug McDermott	47	46	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	9	-13	15.9	15.3	0.58	15.5	16.3	-0.83
Jimmy Butler	55	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	-1	7	15.7	15.5	0.17	15.7	16.1	-0.37
Tony Snell	50	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	-2	9	14.7	16.6	-1.94	16.4	15.3	1.03
Aaron Brooks	40	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.23	-5	10	-15	15.6	15.5	0.11	16.0	15.8	0.23
Cristiano Felicio	53	52	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	4	-3	16.1	14.9	1.11	15.2	16.8	-1.58
Mike Dunleavy	41	40	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	5	-5	16.2	15.1	1.05	15.2	16.4	-1.19

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	45	45	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-9	13	15.6	16.2	-0.53	16.0	15.2	0.85
Toney Douglas	62	64	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.29	9	-14	23	15.5	16.7	-1.12	15.7	15.4	0.23
Luke Babbitt	64	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-5	5	16.0	15.6	0.42	16.0	14.6	1.46
Kendrick Perkins	32	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	5	-15	16.8	15.4	1.42	14.9	16.0	-1.10
Dante Cunningham	69	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.20	-8	3	-11	15.0	18.8	-3.80	15.6	15.4	0.23
Jordan Hamilton	46	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	15.7	16.0	-0.31	15.4	15.7	-0.29
Tim Frazier	63	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	3	-11	16.4	14.7	1.70	14.9	17.0	-2.06
James Ennis	74	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.30	-9	4	-13	16.4	13.9	2.47	15.8	14.7	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.32,0.45,0.16,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 98, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.11,0.21,0.16,0.16,0	92.0%
NJN 96, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.26,0.09,0.09,0	91.9%
SAS 91, MIL 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.43,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.36,0.22,0.1,0	91.2%