inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 84 Excitement7.3 [205] MVPClar. Weatherspoon (MIA): +7.6%
Milwaukee Bucks 76 Comeback2.9 [300] LVPP.J. Brown (MIA): -23.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.020.07-0.03275%0.102-0.024100%0.03
Keith Askins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.01250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Terry Porter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.06-0.04955%0.011-0.03450%-0.01
Tim Hardaway-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011752%0.043-0.08887%0.06
Rex Walters-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01225%-0.0400.00450%-0.02
Alonzo Mourning-0.040,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.01-0.011256%0.053-0.091050%-0.02
Mark Strickland-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00325%-0.0600.0020%-0.04
Dan Majerle-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.090.01-0.01928%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.240,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.10-0.14-0.001639%-0.182-0.06450%-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Thomas0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.01764%0.0500.0000%0.00
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.00657%0.0500.0020%-0.03
Armen Gilliam0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.00464%0.0500.00683%0.02
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00533%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Vinny Del Negro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.03-0.041136%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.050.00540%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00527%-0.051-0.021100%0.00
Glenn Robinson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.05,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.07-0.021746%-0.062-0.043100%0.04
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.060.0000%0.002-0.1000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.05-0.080.011146%-0.032-0.104100%0.02
Haywoode Workman0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.13-0.03-0.01517%-0.103-0.062100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.727.215.425.51.633.7128.4
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +20.9%
MIL -2.1%
MIA +26.7%
MIA +4.7%
MIL -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMILNBAMIAMILNBA
this game16.616.515.896.687.499.6
season16.615.8101.3102.4
opponent16.416.7100.996.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.917.017.617.216.6
MIL17.216.517.514.816.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway71700.71-0.210.910.2416-82416.816.00.7716.416.7-0.29
P.J. Brown68690.64-0.140.780.1716-82416.616.60.0716.715.70.94
Terry Porter56560.440.060.370.2662416.716.60.0815.817.6-1.82
Alonzo Mourning71700.430.070.370.2953217.114.42.7716.217.5-1.24
Dan Majerle75730.280.220.060.1935-216.815.80.9316.217.9-1.65
Keith Askins29300.100.40-0.29-0.0144017.316.30.9717.416.01.47
Rex Walters32340.070.43-0.350.16-311-1415.717.1-1.4017.615.71.88
Mark Strickland1314-0.020.52-0.53-0.0517-615.116.9-1.8314.216.9-2.69
Clar. Weatherspoon3636-0.140.64-0.790.03-614-2015.817.2-1.3616.916.20.67

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Gatling29290.15-0.650.81-0.057-152218.715.43.3316.316.8-0.43
Armen Gilliam2423-0.01-0.490.47-0.072-101216.516.5-0.0216.516.7-0.15
Michael Curry4949-0.03-0.470.43-0.123-111416.915.91.0716.416.9-0.42
Robert Traylor3233-0.12-0.380.270.06-6-2-417.216.11.0816.716.60.15
Tim Thomas2828-0.14-0.360.230.04-6-2-416.316.5-0.2215.217.3-2.09
Dell Curry3737-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-6415.916.9-0.9616.916.40.45
Haywoode Workman4745-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-6415.817.2-1.4416.816.40.44
Vinny Del Negro4042-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.15-6-2-417.215.81.4416.416.8-0.44
Ervin Johnson4341-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.23-80-815.717.2-1.5317.415.91.48
Ray Allen6363-0.560.06-0.63-0.30-91-1016.017.7-1.6515.918.5-2.52
Glenn Robinson4345-0.650.15-0.81-0.27-135-1816.017.0-1.0217.915.22.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.45,0.06,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 79, BOS 740.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.09,0.04,093.3%
DET 90, MEM 800.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.02,0.02,092.9%
DET 84, POR 810.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.08,092.1%