NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	79		Excitement	7.2 [395]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (NJN): +17.2%
Boston Celtics	74		Comeback	4.2 [164]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -19.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17	0.04	0.10	-0.03	12	54%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	8	44%	0.13	2	-0.07	11	73%	0.03
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	55%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Zoran Planinic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	11	45%	0.08	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Vince Carter	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.17,-0.12,-0.11,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	16	37%	0.04	3	-0.17	8	87%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	63%	0.12	4	-0.11	7	43%	-0.05
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	36%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	13	37%	-0.08	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.09,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	16	45%	-0.01	4	-0.18	17	65%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.0	27.3	16.6	28.1	2.4	36.3	138.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +29.6%

NJN +18.3%

NJN +0.6%

NJN +1.7%

BOS -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	16.1	14.3	15.6	84.0	77.9	104.4
season	15.7	14.8		102.1	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.7		104.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.2	17.0	16.6	16.0	16.1
BOS	12.6	14.3	16.9	14.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	71	71	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-4	13	15.7	17.5	-1.76	13.4	17.2	-3.79
Clifford Robinson	57	56	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	16.6	15.5	1.05	14.6	14.0	0.57
Richard Jefferson	80	82	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-3	11	15.9	17.7	-1.84	13.9	17.2	-3.26
Vince Carter	77	80	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	0	5	15.7	18.3	-2.62	13.7	17.6	-3.87
Nenad Krstic	71	73	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	4	-3	15.9	16.9	-1.01	13.3	17.6	-4.29
Lamond Murray	31	30	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	6	-7	16.7	15.9	0.84	16.6	13.3	3.36
Jason Collins	37	37	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	6	-7	16.6	15.9	0.73	14.6	14.2	0.47
Zoran Planinic	20	20	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	7	-9	17.2	15.9	1.34	18.1	13.3	4.77
Jacque Vaughn	26	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	8	-11	17.2	15.7	1.50	16.6	13.5	3.08

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	9	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-6	7	18.4	13.9	4.54	18.8	15.8	2.97
Orien Greene	33	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-2	-1	17.2	12.8	4.31	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Brian Scalabrine	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-5	5	16.5	13.2	3.34	15.8	16.3	-0.51
Raef LaFrentz	41	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	14.8	14.0	0.74	16.2	16.1	0.05
Tony Allen	81	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-2	-1	14.0	16.4	-2.45	16.2	16.1	0.10
Gerald Green	51	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-4	3	13.8	14.9	-1.07	16.4	15.9	0.53
Paul Pierce	74	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	0	-5	13.5	17.2	-3.72	15.7	17.7	-1.97
Ryan Gomes	85	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	14.1	16.3	-2.19	16.6	12.1	4.47
Kendrick Perkins	68	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	1	-7	13.1	17.4	-4.34	15.9	16.7	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.09,0.07,0	93.8%
NOH 87, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.05,0	93.8%
MIA 84, MIL 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.45,0.06,0,0	93.3%