inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 107 Excitement7.2 [400] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +39.8%
Denver Nuggets 113 Comeback3.0 [588] LVPKhris Middleton (MIL): -12.2%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brook Lopez0.170,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.170.130.04-0.001373%0.181-0.0100%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.150,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.150.090.060.001959%0.192-0.041155%-0.09
Cameron Payne0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.05-0.00275%0.0800.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.02-0.00287%0.091-0.024100%0.03
Jae Crowder0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Bobby Portis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.11,-0.02,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.05-0.021330%0.0000.00475%0.01
Damian Lillard-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.001356%0.104-0.136100%0.06
Malik Beasley-0.060,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00928%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Khris Middleton-0.120,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.120.01-0.110.021070%0.064-0.1800%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.40.400.170.22-0.002265%0.452-0.051090%0.08
Peyton Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.04-0.01475%0.1000.0000%0.00
DeAndre Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.05-0.00371%0.0900.001100%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.010.02960%0.0400.002100%0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.03-0.011446%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.020.00756%0.0100.002100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.010.01-0.040.03-0.022545%0.073-0.06580%0.01
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.02650%0.062-0.05475%0.01
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.431.312.730.42.337.5139.8
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +7.7%
DEN +16.1%
MIL -0.2%
DEN +19.7%
DEN +6.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDENNBAMILDENNBA
this game13.215.314.5105.9111.9113.9
season14.315.0117.0116.2
opponent14.614.3111.6114.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL12.314.813.112.713.2
DEN17.015.313.615.515.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cameron Payne2728-0.08-0.420.350.13-71-811.713.8-2.0416.015.01.00
Malik Beasley6667-0.21-0.290.08-0.396-121812.913.9-0.9515.315.3-0.03
Pat Connaughton3233-0.21-0.290.070.11-115-1614.012.91.1215.315.30.04
Jae Crowder3939-0.23-0.270.030.03-93-1213.912.81.0715.015.5-0.45
Brook Lopez7373-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.475-111612.914.2-1.3015.016.0-0.95
Khris Middleton6564-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.392-81012.814.0-1.2315.215.3-0.07
Bobby Portis5250-0.34-0.16-0.170.07-148-2213.712.80.9415.215.3-0.11
Giannis Antetokounmpo7779-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.25-3-3013.313.10.1515.614.31.28
Damian Lillard7472-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.471-7813.811.72.0415.215.6-0.39

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic85850.62-0.120.750.369-31215.116.4-1.3812.715.9-3.21
Peyton Watson48480.55-0.050.610.1414-82215.215.4-0.2113.912.71.21
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope72730.370.130.240.46-39-1214.916.1-1.1612.914.2-1.30
Reggie Jackson43440.360.140.22-0.0815-92414.715.7-1.0113.812.81.03
Michael Porter Jr.78780.310.190.120.34-17-815.713.91.7712.715.0-2.34
Jamal Murray75740.230.27-0.050.31-39-1215.614.51.1013.313.10.12
Christian Braun33330.190.31-0.12-0.1010-41415.515.20.2614.412.71.76
Aaron Gordon5554-0.010.51-0.520.25-915-2415.215.4-0.1712.713.9-1.19
DeAndre Jordan1616-0.120.62-0.75-0.06-28-1016.415.11.3815.912.73.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 99, MIN 1090.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.95,0.99,1,1,192.6%
WAS 105, IND 1070.5,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.95,192.0%
CLE 81, DET 930.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.65,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,191.8%