NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	99		Excitement	6.9 [453]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +27.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Comeback	2.6 [635]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -21.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	6	56%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.01	0.05	18	62%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Will Bynum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Charlie Villanueva	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	9	40%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	12	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	16	45%	-0.01	2	-0.10	10	90%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.18	0.11	0.02	14	77%	0.30	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.12	0.01	11	77%	0.25	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.03
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	3	75%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	14	43%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lazar Hayward	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	9	61%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	64%	0.04	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.09	0.02	14	33%	-0.11	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	27.3	15.7	26.1	2.5	35.5	135.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +68.4%

DET -17.4%

DET -1.4%

DET -1.5%

MIN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIN	NBA	DET	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	14.5	15.5	105.3	116.0	105.7
season	16.7	14.3		106.4	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.2		109.5	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.5	15.7	17.2	15.3	16.2
MIN	15.5	15.0	13.3	14.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	22	23	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-10	10	14.7	16.6	-1.94	14.7	14.4	0.24
Ben Gordon	38	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-7	4	15.7	16.5	-0.77	14.4	14.5	-0.19
Will Bynum	29	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-6	2	14.9	16.8	-1.89	14.4	14.5	-0.12
Tayshaun Prince	55	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-6	2	16.4	15.8	0.55	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Greg Monroe	67	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-6	2	16.5	15.4	1.12	14.4	14.7	-0.33
Jason Maxiell	42	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-13	16	16.6	15.8	0.77	15.0	14.1	0.94
Tracy McGrady	37	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-4	-2	16.0	16.3	-0.33	14.9	14.2	0.73
Rodney Stuckey	65	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-4	-2	16.8	14.9	1.89	14.5	14.4	0.12
Richard Hamilton	63	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-2	-6	16.2	16.2	0.01	14.3	14.8	-0.44
Charlie Villanueva	52	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	8	-26	16.3	16.0	0.22	14.1	15.0	-0.88

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	64	64	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.04	21	-11	32	14.1	15.2	-1.03	16.1	16.4	-0.29
Luke Ridnour	72	73	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	1	8	14.4	14.7	-0.34	16.7	14.5	2.18
Kevin Love	81	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	3	4	14.8	12.5	2.33	15.6	19.3	-3.76
Wesley Johnson	51	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	7	-4	14.4	14.5	-0.12	16.5	15.8	0.74
Darko Milicic	72	72	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	8	-6	14.5	14.3	0.20	16.3	15.7	0.58
Nikola Pekovic	21	21	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	2	6	14.4	14.5	-0.11	15.6	16.3	-0.71
Michael Beasley	46	49	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	14	-18	14.5	14.4	0.11	17.6	14.6	2.97
Wayne Ellington	34	33	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.15	6	4	2	14.4	14.5	-0.13	15.2	16.7	-1.43
Lazar Hayward	7	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	13	-16	14.0	14.5	-0.51	16.0	16.2	-0.18
Sebastian Telfair	22	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.13	1	9	-8	14.7	14.4	0.34	14.5	16.7	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 81, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.6,0.54,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,1	92.6%
ATL 104, BOS 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.95,0.95,1,1,1	92.6%
CLE 81, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.65,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.4%