NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	81		Excitement	5.5 [687]		MVP	Terry Mills (DET): +32.5%
Detroit Pistons	93		Comeback	2.1 [693]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -14.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Lang	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	70%	0.13	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	6	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	14	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mark West	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	17	44%	0.01	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Tyrone Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	10	48%	-0.03	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.02
Bob Sura	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	7	50%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.22	0.10	0.00	9	110%	0.36	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Otis Thorpe	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.14	0.00	16	58%	0.24	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Litterial Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.03	7	33%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	13	40%	-0.08	3	-0.07	9	44%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	26.6	16.6	25.5	2.6	29.1	126.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +44.6%

CLE -4.7%

CLE -9.2%

DET +17.8%

DET +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	19.3	16.9	15.6	102.5	116.3	104.4
season	17.8	17.1		102.1	107.6
opponent	16.2	16.1		102.0	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.6	20.9	24.0	17.9	19.3
DET	15.7	15.2	18.4	18.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	66	67	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-12	12	19.3	19.1	0.26	16.5	19.1	-2.54
Donny Marshall	0	1	0.00	-0.49	0.49	0.00	0	-12	12	0.0	19.3	-19.29	0.0	17.2	-17.16
Mark West	35	36	-0.03	-0.46	0.43	0.11	-5	-7	2	19.2	19.4	-0.21	17.0	16.9	0.04
Vitaly Potapenko	14	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-6	0	20.1	19.1	1.04	19.2	16.5	2.74
Danny Ferry	34	33	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-7	2	19.2	19.3	-0.10	16.6	17.2	-0.59
Tyrone Hill	67	68	-0.39	-0.10	-0.29	-0.18	-7	-5	-2	19.1	20.3	-1.23	17.4	14.6	2.78
Antonio Lang	43	42	-0.43	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-5	-2	19.7	18.8	0.89	16.1	17.9	-1.75
Chris Mills	70	72	-0.50	0.01	-0.51	-0.12	-13	1	-14	18.8	22.8	-3.93	17.2	14.9	2.31
Bob Sura	66	67	-0.67	0.18	-0.84	-0.17	-17	5	-22	19.6	17.9	1.64	17.1	15.9	1.23

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Mills	47	46	0.65	-0.16	0.81	0.06	20	-8	28	17.6	16.0	1.57	19.2	19.5	-0.28
Joe Dumars	70	68	0.65	-0.16	0.80	0.24	14	-2	16	17.3	14.8	2.46	19.5	18.1	1.39
Lindsey Hunter	65	65	0.45	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	4	4	17.4	15.1	2.24	18.7	22.1	-3.38
Grant Hill	66	65	0.41	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	2	8	17.0	16.7	0.29	19.4	18.9	0.44
Rick Mahorn	14	15	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	5	2	18.4	16.6	1.79	20.8	18.9	1.86
Michael Curry	38	37	0.17	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	5	2	14.8	18.9	-4.02	19.5	19.1	0.47
Otis Thorpe	63	61	0.14	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	7	-2	17.1	16.4	0.76	19.2	19.7	-0.49
Litterial Green	8	8	-0.17	0.66	-0.83	-0.05	-4	16	-20	13.4	17.3	-3.97	18.2	19.4	-1.16
Grant Long	29	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	19	-26	16.8	17.0	-0.25	19.6	19.1	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.65,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 88, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	93.6%
WAS 105, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.95,1	93.4%
NYK 81, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.6,0.54,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,1	93.3%