NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	88		Excitement	6.8 [488]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +14.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	2.0 [808]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -15.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.04	-0.02	10	65%	0.13	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Ansu Sesay	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	1	17%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	25	51%	0.08	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	10	54%	0.01	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	13	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	11	30%	-0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.00	22	63%	0.18	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	0.00	13	69%	0.21	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	8	70%	0.21	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.03
Ira Newble	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	1	62%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	6	29%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.1	2.5	25.2	16.0	25.5	1.8	38.5	129.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +42.7%

GSW -1.7%

CLE +14.1%

GSW -11.0%

CLE +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	15.9	16.5	15.5	98.9	111.2	104.0
season	15.0	16.2		102.3	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.9	17.5	15.4	15.9	15.9
CLE	15.7	19.5	15.2	16.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	20	18	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.12	1	-12	13	14.4	16.3	-1.84	16.1	16.6	-0.47
Calbert Cheaney	22	22	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-11	11	16.0	15.8	0.16	17.4	16.2	1.23
Ansu Sesay	9	8	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.07	-2	-9	7	14.0	16.1	-2.09	14.4	16.7	-2.32
Eduardo Najera	26	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-10	9	16.9	15.5	1.42	15.2	17.0	-1.78
Speedy Claxton	47	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	-3	-5	15.1	16.8	-1.72	14.6	18.4	-3.76
Dale Davis	15	15	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-6	1	18.1	15.4	2.63	20.3	15.7	4.63
Derek Fisher	44	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-4	-3	16.5	15.3	1.14	17.8	15.0	2.78
Clifford Robinson	54	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-4	-3	15.8	16.0	-0.20	15.6	18.0	-2.46
Troy Murphy	63	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-1	-9	15.5	16.9	-1.42	17.0	15.2	1.78
Mike Dunleavy	68	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-7	3	16.5	13.8	2.77	17.4	13.1	4.29
Jason Richardson	77	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	1	-13	15.6	17.3	-1.68	15.9	20.0	-4.12

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	80	78	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-4	19	15.9	21.2	-5.27	15.9	15.9	-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	68	68	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	1	9	16.1	17.8	-1.74	15.7	16.3	-0.60
Drew Gooden	66	65	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.22	11	0	11	15.5	19.2	-3.69	15.9	15.8	0.12
Eric Snow	46	46	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	-3	17	16.9	16.0	0.84	16.1	15.7	0.44
Jeff McInnis	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.28	4	7	-3	15.9	19.3	-3.35	15.5	17.6	-2.13
Lucious Harris	13	14	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	9	-7	20.5	15.8	4.75	17.7	15.5	2.18
Ira Newble	39	39	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	14	-17	15.6	17.2	-1.54	15.5	16.2	-0.65
Robert Traylor	23	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	11	-11	19.2	15.5	3.69	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Sasha Pavlovic	18	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.19	3	8	-5	17.2	16.3	0.86	15.3	16.0	-0.71
Scott Williams	18	19	-0.15	0.66	-0.81	-0.13	-1	12	-13	19.9	15.6	4.34	17.3	15.5	1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 76, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.94,0.98,1,1	94.1%
CLE 81, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.65,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1	93.6%
GSW 90, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	93.6%