inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 105 Excitement8.1 [244] MVPThaddeus Young (IND): +31.2%
Indiana Pacers 107 Comeback2.4 [792] LVPMarkieff Morris (WAS): -13.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bradley Beal0.130,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0.130.010.120.011950%0.172-0.05683%0.04
Marcin Gortat0.080,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.080.060.030.011564%0.163-0.08333%-0.05
Otto Porter0.080,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.03-0.001355%0.101-0.025100%0.04
Andrew Nicholson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.01-0.002150%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Jason Smith0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Marcus Thornton0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Trey Burke0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00275%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Daniel Ochefu-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01828%-0.0700.00250%-0.01
Tomas Satoransky-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
John Wall-0.120,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12-0.03-0.080.011453%0.034-0.15887%0.02
Markieff Morris-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.06-0.01930%-0.092-0.042100%0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.310.31-0.010.330.01967%0.474-0.1500%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.020.12-0.011951%0.212-0.067100%0.04
Myles Turner0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.050.021365%0.162-0.05560%-0.01
Paul George0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.080.080.050.02-0.012156%0.204-0.12683%0.02
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.04-0.001050%0.0600.0000%0.00
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.00759%0.0500.003100%0.01
Lavoy Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Glenn Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00550%0.013-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.61.829.215.624.02.440.5140.2
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +77.5%
WAS -8.2%
WAS -10.3%
WAS -6.5%
WAS -2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASINDNBAWASINDNBA
this game14.215.214.8106.1110.3107.7
season14.414.9109.9107.5
opponent14.814.9108.0108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.915.914.612.514.2
IND13.215.415.417.015.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tomas Satoransky15140.00-0.500.51-0.052-4614.714.10.6416.415.01.35
Jason Smith990.00-0.500.510.03-1-1015.214.11.1314.715.3-0.59
Marcin Gortat8886-0.03-0.470.43-0.154-61014.115.0-0.9115.413.51.87
Daniel Ochefu1010-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-20-216.513.92.5714.115.3-1.23
Andrew Nicholson1414-0.09-0.410.310.08-64-1016.813.83.0214.615.3-0.74
Trey Burke1011-0.12-0.380.260.03-53-819.513.65.9016.315.11.20
Bradley Beal6261-0.16-0.340.17-0.408-101813.615.2-1.5515.814.21.56
Marcus Thornton3231-0.24-0.260.03-0.03-75-1215.213.71.4213.915.8-1.96
Markieff Morris5656-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.506-81413.215.5-2.3715.415.00.36
Otto Porter8077-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.451-3413.716.4-2.6915.514.21.20
John Wall8178-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.44-20-213.517.5-4.0414.816.9-2.17
Kelly Oubre Jr.3838-0.560.06-0.62-0.32-86-1415.313.51.8214.915.4-0.43

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Teague80830.70-0.200.900.536-41014.916.4-1.4613.717.0-3.35
Myles Turner66680.61-0.110.720.3110-81815.414.80.6314.114.3-0.14
Thaddeus Young76780.60-0.100.690.484-2615.215.2-0.0413.815.7-1.93
CJ Miles58590.55-0.050.610.2311-92015.714.51.2014.513.70.87
Paul George81820.380.120.260.3802-215.414.11.3714.114.8-0.76
Glenn Robinson63660.330.170.160.57-810-1814.815.9-1.1314.014.6-0.58
Lavoy Allen13130.020.48-0.46-0.0111013.615.5-1.8415.814.01.82
Aaron Brooks1716-0.200.70-0.90-0.08-46-1016.414.91.4617.013.73.35
Al Jefferson3130-0.490.99-1.47-0.19-1012-2214.815.4-0.6314.813.90.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 81, DET 930.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.65,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,193.4%
BOS 90, DEN 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.99,0.96,192.8%
SAS 87, WAS 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.8,0.85,0.97,0.96,192.6%