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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 114 Excitement7.4 [366] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +55.2%
Indiana Pacers 109 Comeback4.7 [443] LVPMyles Turner (IND): -12.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0.550,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.34,0.34,0.46,0.550.220.350.021977%0.591-0.042100%0.01
Jamal Murray0.120,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.120.070.02-0.022457%0.203-0.086100%0.07
Aaron Gordon0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.030.00569%0.0900.003100%0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.001254%0.071-0.042100%0.02
Reggie Jackson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.001159%0.082-0.0500%0.00
Peyton Watson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01470%0.072-0.042100%0.01
Christian Braun-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
DeAndre Jordan-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00150%-0.001-0.0320%-0.03
Michael Porter Jr.-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.01928%-0.0300.0000%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.060.140.002125%0.2000.0000%0.00
Andrew Nembhard0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.06-0.00983%0.192-0.0400%0.00
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.020.011171%0.123-0.082100%0.01
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.02343%0.0200.001100%0.00
Obi Toppin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Bennedict Mathurin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.01-0.00852%0.031-0.03580%0.03
Isaiah Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00337%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Aaron Nesmith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.01,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.04-0.021346%0.001-0.022100%0.04
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.000.021647%-0.001-0.022100%0.01
Myles Turner0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12-0.120.02-0.120.021851%-0.042-0.08786%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.626.314.727.32.437.4136.1
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +55.8%
IND -1.7%
IND -2.9%
IND -9.0%
DEN +7.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENINDNBADENINDNBA
this game16.313.814.5120.0113.5113.9
season14.913.7116.6120.1
opponent14.614.6117.5111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.817.213.318.516.3
IND12.714.114.314.213.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray74740.76-0.261.030.2617-122915.718.7-2.9813.714.2-0.47
Nikola Jokic73730.57-0.070.640.309-41316.017.5-1.4414.112.91.20
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope68700.470.030.450.277-2916.116.9-0.8114.412.41.97
Aaron Gordon64650.430.070.370.2950516.017.1-1.0614.312.81.50
Michael Porter Jr.62630.370.130.250.177-2915.418.2-2.8614.312.81.48
Peyton Watson35350.090.41-0.310.18-38-1118.315.23.1613.114.2-1.07
Christian Braun30290.070.43-0.350.10-16-716.916.10.8612.414.4-1.97
DeAndre Jordan2123-0.040.54-0.580.02-27-917.316.11.2712.914.1-1.20
Reggie Jackson4848-0.240.74-0.980.17-1419-3317.715.02.7113.214.4-1.23

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
T.J. McConnell41410.15-0.650.80-0.1410-152513.214.3-1.0517.615.42.26
Obi Toppin3335-0.02-0.480.46-0.144-91312.414.6-2.2216.816.10.76
Isaiah Jackson1919-0.02-0.470.45-0.020-5513.114.0-0.8917.616.01.54
Bennedict Mathurin5958-0.07-0.430.37-0.132-7913.614.1-0.4615.317.9-2.62
Ben Sheppard2222-0.08-0.420.34-0.297-121914.213.70.5218.515.72.80
Aaron Nesmith6865-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.24-4-1-314.412.51.8216.116.9-0.86
Pascal Siakam6663-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.24-50-514.412.61.7316.116.8-0.75
Buddy Hield4345-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.05-1510-2513.014.5-1.4517.015.81.24
Myles Turner7473-0.560.06-0.63-0.30-94-1314.212.61.5416.017.5-1.44
Andrew Nembhard5554-0.650.15-0.80-0.21-1510-2514.313.21.0515.417.6-2.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.57,0.64,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.24,0.23,0.46,0.37,0.57,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 106, NYK 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.3,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.27,0.34,0.45,0.37,0.22,0,090.8%
PHX 116, LAL 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.24,0.22,0.1,0.28,0.33,0.09,090.4%
CHA 105, NJN 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.55,0.16,090.2%