NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	116		Excitement	7.1 [391]		MVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): +24.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	2.4 [656]		LVP	Jordan Hill (LAL): -14.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.10	-0.02	16	71%	0.30	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
PJ Tucker	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.01	9	67%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	7	75%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Alex Len	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.06	0.04	0.00	10	48%	0.09	4	-0.12	5	40%	-0.05
Eric Bledsoe	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	19	49%	0.01	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.01	9	74%	0.21	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	-0.01	-0.02	15	64%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	11	73%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	65%	0.06	3	-0.08	5	20%	-0.08
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	10	48%	0.06	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	11	35%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.4	28.5	15.0	25.5	1.7	31.6	126.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +16.4%

PHX +7.0%

PHX +21.0%

PHX +9.9%

LAL -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	13.7	14.4	15.1	113.7	103.9	104.2
season	14.4	15.5		103.7	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.0		108.9	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.1	11.2	15.0	15.8	13.7
LAL	14.6	15.4	12.7	14.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	69	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-4	17	13.3	14.5	-1.11	14.4	14.4	-0.05
Goran Dragic	73	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	1	7	13.1	15.3	-2.19	14.8	13.3	1.58
PJ Tucker	61	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	2	5	14.1	13.1	1.02	13.7	15.4	-1.70
Isaiah Thomas	54	54	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	1	7	13.0	14.5	-1.58	14.6	14.2	0.35
Markieff Morris	73	74	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	2	5	13.0	15.4	-2.43	14.3	14.7	-0.37
Marcus Morris	38	39	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	5	-1	14.6	13.2	1.43	14.4	14.4	0.08
Alex Len	54	56	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	5	-1	12.1	15.6	-3.51	15.4	13.2	2.24
Miles Plumlee	42	42	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	10	-11	15.4	12.5	2.85	13.8	14.8	-1.06
Gerald Green	35	34	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	10	-11	16.7	12.1	4.54	13.7	14.7	-1.06
Shavlik Randolph	11	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	13	-17	15.2	13.5	1.65	14.4	14.4	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Sacre	29	29	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-12	15	14.6	14.3	0.32	14.9	13.2	1.71
Wayne Ellington	32	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-10	11	14.3	14.4	-0.11	14.9	13.2	1.72
Carlos Boozer	45	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-10	11	13.8	14.9	-1.12	15.7	12.1	3.63
Ronnie Price	48	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-3	-3	15.3	13.6	1.69	12.3	14.9	-2.63
Wesley Johnson	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	14.2	14.7	-0.45	13.2	14.4	-1.18
Jordan Hill	49	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-1	-7	15.3	13.6	1.71	11.4	15.8	-4.36
Jeremy Lin	55	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-6	3	13.6	15.3	-1.69	14.9	12.3	2.63
Kobe Bryant	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-1	-7	14.6	14.0	0.54	12.9	15.3	-2.41
Nick Young	52	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-3	-3	14.1	14.7	-0.55	15.0	12.4	2.55
Ed Davis	74	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	3	-15	14.3	14.6	-0.32	13.2	14.9	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.24,0.22,0.1,0.28,0.33,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 92, SAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.02,0	92.5%
PHI 83, NJN 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.3,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.34,0.05,0	92.3%
MEM 98, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.01,0	92.0%