inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 98 Excitement5.7 [724] MVPLorenzen Wright (MEM): +17.1%
New Orleans Hornets 91 Comeback1.9 [328] LVPBostjan Nachbar (NOH): -16.2%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright0.170,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.170.100.080.011073%0.1700.00683%0.01
Earl Watson0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.10.040.03-0.03769%0.131-0.0220%-0.00
Shane Battier0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.06-0.00675%0.162-0.07475%-0.00
Stromile Swift0.090,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.090.050.060.02876%0.132-0.049100%0.04
Jake Tsakalidis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bonzi Wells-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01350%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Ryan Humphrey-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Brian Cardinal-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00325%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Jason Williams-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.021447%0.053-0.092100%0.01
Mike Miller-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.01872%0.095-0.152100%0.02
Dahntay Jones-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.01436%-0.051-0.02367%-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dan Dickau0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.05-0.001853%0.112-0.0400%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01965%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Casey Jacobsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.00579%0.081-0.024100%0.03
Rodney Rogers0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02781%0.092-0.062100%0.01
Jackson Vroman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.010.010.02-0.01-0.01950%0.0100.0000%0.00
Junior Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Lee Nailon0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.06-0.031350%-0.024-0.082100%0.01
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.060.011242%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.11-0.050.0060%-0.131-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.528.515.026.11.736.0136.0
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +45.2%
MEM +20.4%
NOH -10.7%
NOH -8.1%
MEM +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMNOHNBAMEMNOHNBA
this game16.216.815.5111.4104.6104.0
season16.416.5103.797.7
opponent15.715.5105.2101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM14.519.115.716.016.2
NOH17.520.916.313.316.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lorenzen Wright75740.69-0.190.880.3113-61916.215.90.2817.413.24.24
Earl Watson49480.57-0.070.630.2411-41516.515.80.7016.616.9-0.25
Shane Battier72720.56-0.060.620.299-21116.017.0-1.0316.518.0-1.50
Stromile Swift67680.390.110.280.2161515.418.4-2.9815.820.1-4.28
Dahntay Jones23210.360.140.220.138-1915.416.4-0.9814.317.5-3.20
Jason Williams50500.140.36-0.220.17-18-915.217.4-2.2715.518.4-2.87
Mike Miller38390.010.49-0.480.0107-716.316.00.2819.214.84.43
Ryan Humphrey1010-0.010.51-0.520.02-18-919.815.74.1117.516.70.84
Bonzi Wells1918-0.060.56-0.62-0.00-29-1116.216.2-0.0016.916.70.23
Brian Cardinal3029-0.060.56-0.630.05-411-1517.515.52.0319.015.73.31
Jake Tsakalidis76-0.080.58-0.660.04-411-1519.915.84.0213.817.0-3.14

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Smith46480.01-0.510.51-0.176-131915.318.4-3.0417.015.11.94
Chris Andersen3838-0.04-0.460.42-0.133-101315.817.5-1.7716.915.61.39
Lee Nailon7172-0.09-0.410.31-0.245-121715.721.2-5.5016.016.9-0.87
Jackson Vroman87-0.11-0.390.280.04-5-2-320.116.43.7119.315.93.40
Junior Harrington55-0.13-0.370.230.01-5-2-322.616.46.2018.616.02.59
Rodney Rogers6464-0.20-0.300.09-0.293-101316.816.60.2616.714.81.82
Dan Dickau8283-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.31-2-5316.422.6-6.2016.018.6-2.59
Bostjan Nachbar1314-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.08-125-1722.515.86.7016.316.10.15
Casey Jacobsen4140-0.510.01-0.51-0.12-136-1918.415.33.0415.117.0-1.94
P.J. Brown6769-0.620.12-0.75-0.18-158-2316.816.50.2715.120.1-4.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 92, SAS 860.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.02,094.3%
MEM 106, ORL 960.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,094.0%
NOK 102, DEN 950.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.03,093.4%