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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets 102 Excitement6.7 [484] MVPDesmond Mason (NOK): +30.9%
Denver Nuggets 95 Comeback2.2 [276] LVPDavid West (NOK): -15.6%


New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Desmond Mason0.310,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.070.22-0.011762%0.352-0.04875%0.02
Speedy Claxton0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.140.110.03-0.00968%0.1400.001090%0.03
Rasual Butler0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.070.00869%0.1400.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.030.011362%0.082-0.0700%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.03-0.010.01943%-0.031-0.03580%0.00
Chris Paul-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.011042%-0.003-0.08475%0.00
David West-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.11-0.040.001427%-0.131-0.032100%0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.290.290.220.070.001870%0.2900.001173%0.01
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.010.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.03-0.00757%0.041-0.0500%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.020.00642%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01744%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00944%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.021744%0.002-0.052100%0.02
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01943%0.002-0.06367%0.01
Kenyon Martin0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00922%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.050.00217%-0.052-0.07250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.91.828.316.726.01.832.2131.8
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOK +25.6%
NOK +5.0%
NOK +15.5%
NOK +2.3%
NOK +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOKDENNBANOKDENNBA
this game17.512.915.6107.4100.0104.4
season16.314.4101.2103.5
opponent15.915.3103.5104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOK17.517.415.819.417.5
DEN11.313.912.514.012.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Desmond Mason82800.60-0.100.690.2711-41516.722.5-5.7913.012.20.78
Chris Paul79800.440.060.370.2370716.820.5-3.6512.813.3-0.57
Speedy Claxton46460.430.070.360.1310-31318.616.42.1812.213.4-1.23
P.J. Brown73730.420.080.340.198-1917.019.0-1.9412.115.4-3.27
David West71710.290.210.070.2907-718.115.72.3513.510.92.59
Rasual Butler37380.230.27-0.040.2016-518.217.01.2313.112.70.38
J.R. Smith65640.140.36-0.230.22-310-1317.417.6-0.1513.411.71.74
Chris Andersen16160.010.49-0.49-0.0216-518.617.21.4012.213.0-0.72
Brandon Bass67-0.040.54-0.58-0.0407-719.017.41.6412.912.90.00

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Linas Kleiza37370.06-0.560.62-0.116-131913.112.70.4217.817.30.53
Voshon Lenard2423-0.03-0.470.43-0.123-101315.012.12.9319.916.73.23
Kenyon Martin5253-0.09-0.410.33-0.204-111512.313.5-1.2518.016.81.21
Francisco Elson2321-0.10-0.400.31-0.01-3-4113.712.61.1719.816.83.01
DerMarr Johnson4041-0.12-0.380.260.06-6-1-513.312.50.8215.319.1-3.78
Earl Watson5452-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.32-1-6512.713.1-0.3919.415.24.20
Marcus Camby7979-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.25-6-1-512.415.1-2.6617.119.5-2.45
Eduardo Najera2627-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.13-114-1514.312.31.9514.918.5-3.60
Andre Miller7172-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.17-103-1312.115.0-2.9316.719.9-3.23
Earl Boykins6970-0.540.04-0.58-0.22-114-1512.713.3-0.6317.517.40.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.03,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 103, OKC 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.04,093.7%
MEM 98, NOH 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.01,093.4%
MEM 106, ORL 960.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,093.3%