NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	106		Excitement	7.0 [483]		MVP	Wayne Ellington (MIA): +27.0%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	3.0 [285]		LVP	James Johnson (MIA): -18.8%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.27,0.27	0.12	0.18	0.03	13	66%	0.27	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.01	10	59%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	92%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Bam Adebayo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Dion Waiters	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	12	54%	0.06	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Justise Winslow	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	9	55%	0.03	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
James Johnson	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.01	-0.17	0.00	13	50%	-0.02	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.14	0.00	16	58%	0.25	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.02	-0.00	-0.05	8	55%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.07	0.02	10	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Knox	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	-0.00	16	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.04	-0.15	0.00	9	61%	0.04	2	-0.15	5	40%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.6	27.5	15.3	26.3	1.7	37.3	137.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +43.2%

NYK -6.1%

MIA +26.9%

NYK -15.7%

MIA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.7	14.0	14.3	110.4	99.0	109.3
season	14.8	14.5		106.3	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.3		112.5	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.8	15.7	16.4	16.1	15.7
NYK	13.5	15.0	16.3	11.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Whiteside	46	49	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.18	24	-15	39	15.8	15.7	0.08	14.6	13.4	1.24
Wayne Ellington	59	62	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.19	19	-10	29	15.8	15.5	0.29	14.6	12.9	1.65
Justise Winslow	69	71	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.09	21	-12	33	15.4	16.6	-1.16	14.0	13.9	0.19
James Johnson	57	59	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.13	18	-9	27	15.8	15.5	0.30	15.0	12.5	2.50
Dwyane Wade	58	57	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	7	-5	15.7	15.8	-0.16	13.1	15.2	-2.07
Josh Richardson	70	72	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	7	-5	15.9	15.3	0.56	13.5	15.2	-1.69
Rodney McGruder	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	9	-9	1.0	15.9	-14.87	21.0	13.9	7.08
Derrick Jones Jr.	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	14	-19	15.3	15.8	-0.43	12.6	14.1	-1.58
Dion Waiters	35	35	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.13	-11	20	-31	16.4	15.3	1.07	14.6	13.7	0.90
Kelly Olynyk	35	35	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.03	-10	19	-29	15.7	15.7	-0.05	13.5	14.3	-0.74
Bam Adebayo	41	40	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.12	-15	24	-39	15.6	15.8	-0.19	12.8	14.8	-1.97

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Ntilikina	32	30	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-13	17	13.4	14.3	-0.91	14.9	16.1	-1.24
Courtney Lee	14	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-13	17	13.6	14.1	-0.49	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Damyean Dotson	55	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-15	21	13.1	15.2	-2.09	15.9	15.4	0.50
Allonzo Trier	42	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-6	3	13.7	14.2	-0.48	15.2	16.1	-0.91
Mario Hezonja	63	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-10	11	13.7	14.6	-0.95	15.9	15.5	0.39
Mitchell Robinson	48	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.27	2	-11	13	13.0	14.9	-1.94	16.3	15.2	1.08
Noah Vonleh	50	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	2	-13	14.9	13.0	1.94	15.2	16.3	-1.08
Trey Burke	44	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-3	-3	14.7	13.4	1.30	16.8	14.7	2.17
Lance Thomas	36	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	4	-17	14.3	13.8	0.50	15.3	16.0	-0.67
Kevin Knox	43	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	6	-21	15.8	12.6	3.17	15.8	15.7	0.12
Tim Hardaway Jr.	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.06	-14	5	-19	13.8	14.3	-0.46	15.5	16.1	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.3,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.27,0.34,0.45,0.37,0.22,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 110, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.21,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.21,0.03,0.01,0	91.0%
ATL 113, MIL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.59,0.64,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.27,0.15,0.29,0.32,0.09,0	90.9%
DEN 103, MIN 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.24,0.11,0.15,0.08,0	90.6%