NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	110		Excitement	5.8 [698]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +29.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	3.9 [152]		LVP	Chris Mihm (LAL): -10.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.17	0.13	0.01	11	86%	0.32	1	-0.02	13	92%	0.12
Bobby Simmons	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08	-0.01	0.10	0.02	15	48%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Chris Kaman	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	55%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	10	45%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lionel Chalmers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.03	17	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	6	92%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	21	71%	0.20	3	-0.09	16	100%	0.06
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	22	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	5	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.8	30.3	16.7	26.2	3.4	35.3	138.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +28.1%

LAC +1.1%

LAC +6.4%

LAC +12.7%

LAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.5	125.0	117.4	104.0
season	16.0	15.7		103.0	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.9	20.3	14.6	18.9	17.3
LAL	16.8	15.7	16.0	14.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	80	76	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-3	15	17.3	16.9	0.46	15.5	17.9	-2.39
Rick Brunson	64	61	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.21	16	-7	23	16.6	19.1	-2.52	15.7	16.1	-0.46
Chris Kaman	55	55	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.09	20	-11	31	15.3	20.6	-5.25	16.7	14.2	2.50
Corey Maggette	73	72	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.08	20	-11	31	16.3	22.2	-5.91	15.9	15.4	0.43
Elton Brand	72	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	4	1	17.6	15.8	1.81	15.2	18.5	-3.32
Zeljko Rebraca	16	15	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	12	-15	20.7	16.5	4.22	16.2	15.7	0.50
Mikki Moore	19	17	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	7	-5	19.6	16.7	2.98	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Lionel Chalmers	24	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	16	-23	19.1	16.6	2.52	16.1	15.7	0.46
Chris Wilcox	11	12	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	17	-25	19.8	16.9	2.88	16.7	15.6	1.11
Quinton Ross	26	26	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.00	-12	21	-33	18.3	16.9	1.49	15.9	15.7	0.13

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	23	22	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-13	17	18.0	15.0	2.96	19.2	16.7	2.52
Brian Cook	7	9	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-6	3	11.7	16.2	-4.44	12.2	17.9	-5.65
Slava Medvedenko	22	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-11	13	14.1	16.4	-2.22	17.1	17.3	-0.21
Jumaine Jones	39	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.24	7	-16	23	14.9	16.6	-1.68	19.9	15.1	4.77
Brian Grant	41	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-12	15	16.3	15.4	0.91	17.0	17.5	-0.46
Chris Mihm	38	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	0	-9	16.0	15.6	0.42	18.8	16.2	2.58
Chucky Atkins	72	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	0	-9	15.4	18.0	-2.64	17.1	18.3	-1.18
Caron Butler	47	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	7	-23	16.6	14.9	1.68	15.1	19.9	-4.77
Lamar Odom	64	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	2	-13	16.4	14.1	2.22	17.3	17.1	0.21
Kobe Bryant	77	80	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	4	-17	15.5	17.9	-2.34	16.9	20.7	-3.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.21,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.21,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, SEA 93	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.36,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.28,0.05,0,0	91.6%
MIA 100, TOR 85	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.28,0.25,0.22,0,0,0	91.5%
GSW 117, SEA 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.11,0.02,0	91.1%