NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	105		Excitement	7.8 [278]		MVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): +65.0%
New Jersey Nets	103		Comeback	2.0 [400]		LVP	Stephen Graham (NJN): -9.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.65	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.65,0.65	0.17	0.48	-0.00	11	83%	0.73	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.04
Dante Cunningham	0.28	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28	0.10	0.18	0.01	16	64%	0.30	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.23	-0.01	0.25	0.02	17	53%	0.31	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2	0.02	0.18	-0.00	8	55%	0.23	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Garrett Temple	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Dominic McGuire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	14	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.22,0.22,0.52	0.52	0.13	0.41	0.02	13	68%	0.52	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.12	0.01	12	71%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	5	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.12	-0.00	10	45%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.08,0,0,0.1	0.10	0.08	-0.00	-0.02	23	57%	0.26	3	-0.16	8	87%	0.03
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	27.8	14.6	24.2	1.8	32.3	127.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +39.9%

NJN -1.6%

CHA +2.8%

NJN -3.2%

CHA +12.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NJN	NBA	CHA	NJN	NBA
this game	17.5	17.2	15.5	126.5	124.1	105.7
season	16.2	16.4		102.3	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.2	15.7	19.2	19.2	17.5
NJN	15.8	18.6	17.8	16.8	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	60	59	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.40	9	-7	16	17.4	17.7	-0.34	16.6	18.6	-2.00
Boris Diaw	68	69	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-5	12	17.8	16.1	1.74	17.2	17.1	0.16
Dante Cunningham	61	61	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-3	8	17.7	16.9	0.80	16.4	19.5	-3.06
Gerald Henderson	74	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	0	2	17.4	18.3	-0.94	17.1	18.2	-1.14
Kwame Brown	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-4	10	17.7	16.5	1.23	17.3	16.9	0.33
Dominic McGuire	23	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	6	-10	16.6	17.8	-1.28	18.7	16.6	2.00
Matt Carroll	9	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	2	-2	18.3	17.4	0.94	18.2	17.1	1.14
Garrett Temple	23	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	9	-16	17.7	17.4	0.34	18.6	16.6	2.00
DJ White	30	30	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.05	-8	10	-18	16.5	18.0	-1.50	17.5	17.0	0.51

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	37	36	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.22	11	-13	24	18.4	16.2	2.17	19.1	16.3	2.76
Johan Petro	16	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-4	6	18.7	16.8	1.91	16.9	17.6	-0.77
Jordan Farmar	57	59	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-7	12	18.2	14.9	3.32	17.4	17.7	-0.24
Sasha Vujacic	66	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	3	-8	17.0	17.9	-0.85	17.4	17.8	-0.39
Travis Outlaw	47	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-8	14	16.5	18.1	-1.60	17.8	17.1	0.68
Ben Uzoh	30	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	3	-8	16.5	17.6	-1.05	17.4	17.5	-0.15
Stephen Graham	53	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	3	-8	17.2	17.3	-0.15	17.8	17.1	0.70
Brook Lopez	71	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.40	-5	3	-8	17.1	18.1	-1.03	17.7	16.5	1.20
Brandan Wright	38	37	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.37	-14	12	-26	15.9	18.3	-2.46	15.5	19.1	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.55,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 95, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.27,0.13,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.43,0.05,0	92.6%
ORL 90, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.18,0	92.0%
TOR 93, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.16,0	92.0%