NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	93		Excitement	8.3 [229]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +49.0%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	2.3 [220]		LVP	Kyle O'Quinn (NYK): -14.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.49	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.49,0.49	0.16	0.30	-0.03	17	73%	0.57	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.07
Terrence Ross	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	11	52%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	11	52%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.02
Jason Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Cory Joseph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Norman Powell	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.05,-0.15	0.03	-0.18	-0.01	15	47%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	11	54%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.01	-0.03	16	55%	0.12	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	16	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	10	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	6	25%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	11	32%	-0.05	1	-0.10	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	0.8	25.4	17.3	25.6	2.3	41.5	135.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +61.6%

NYK -4.9%

NYK -34.3%

TOR +25.5%

TOR +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	17.3	16.9	14.9	112.0	104.7	105.1
season	16.1	15.6		107.2	103.5
opponent	14.8	14.8		106.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	19.6	15.9	16.3	17.6	17.3
NYK	14.0	18.4	19.7	16.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	37	37	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.35	8	-4	12	16.3	18.2	-1.85	17.1	16.8	0.25
Jonas Valanciunas	47	48	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	-2	8	17.2	17.5	-0.27	17.6	16.1	1.52
Patrick Patterson	51	52	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	1	2	17.2	17.6	-0.40	16.2	18.0	-1.78
Kyle Lowry	56	57	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.34	-3	7	-10	17.3	17.4	-0.14	16.6	17.6	-0.99
DeMar DeRozan	61	62	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.28	-1	5	-6	17.6	16.8	0.78	16.5	18.3	-1.81
DeMarre Carroll	29	30	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	-1	6	17.6	17.2	0.31	17.6	16.6	0.97
Jason Thompson	32	33	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	3	-2	17.6	17.2	0.40	18.0	16.2	1.78
Cory Joseph	33	35	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	1	2	16.9	17.6	-0.68	16.0	17.6	-1.55
Norman Powell	35	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	4	-4	17.5	17.3	0.19	17.6	16.4	1.16
Bismack Biyombo	36	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	6	-8	17.5	17.2	0.27	16.1	17.6	-1.52

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	40	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.07	1	-5	6	16.8	17.1	-0.31	17.7	17.0	0.74
Robin Lopez	50	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-4	4	17.7	15.9	1.84	16.7	18.2	-1.52
Carmelo Anthony	43	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-3	2	17.8	16.0	1.81	17.3	17.4	-0.03
Arron Afflalo	39	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	2	-8	17.5	16.4	1.10	17.7	17.0	0.65
Cleanthony Early	38	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-3	2	16.4	17.4	-0.99	17.0	17.6	-0.58
Kyle O'Quinn	35	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	0	-4	15.9	17.7	-1.84	18.2	16.7	1.52
Sasha Vujacic	62	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-4	4	16.4	18.4	-1.99	18.1	15.4	2.70
Langston Galloway	48	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	1	-6	17.6	16.1	1.48	16.6	18.3	-1.69
Jerian Grant	70	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	0	-4	16.5	19.1	-2.58	17.0	18.9	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 95, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.27,0.13,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.43,0.05,0	92.4%
VAN 97, DET 95	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.34,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.33,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.16,0	92.1%
CHA 105, NJN 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.55,0.16,0	92.0%