NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	97		Excitement	8.4 [161]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): +6.8%
Detroit Pistons	95		Comeback	2.6 [33]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -41.6%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	9	79%	0.22	6	-0.15	6	83%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,0.04	-0.07	0.09	-0.01	11	52%	0.14	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
George Lynch	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	73%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Sam Mack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	14	60%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Lee Mayberry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	4	56%	-0.01	4	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Otis Thorpe	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.06	-0.14	-0.01	9	58%	-0.01	4	-0.18	8	62%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.02	17	65%	0.08	3	-0.07	6	67%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.09,-0.1,-0.03	-0.03	0.09	-0.12	0.00	16	61%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.08
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	8	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	10	25%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.42	-0.42	-0.12	-0.33	-0.03	22	37%	-0.42	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.25

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	26.7	15.7	29.1	2.5	36.6	139.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +98.1%

DET -4.7%

VAN +1.1%

DET -59.5%

VAN +15.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	DET	NBA	VAN	DET	NBA
this game	15.0	16.4	15.6	106.6	103.3	102.5
season	15.1	15.9		101.3	102.8
opponent	15.9	15.3		101.1	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.0	16.9	12.0	18.0	15.0
DET	15.9	19.1	15.7	15.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otis Thorpe	74	74	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.41	8	-6	14	15.0	15.2	-0.22	16.4	16.8	-0.48
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	65	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.49	5	-3	8	14.5	16.3	-1.88	16.0	17.5	-1.52
Blue Edwards	53	55	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-6	14	15.7	14.1	1.58	17.0	15.6	1.42
Antonio Daniels	54	54	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.54	0	2	-2	15.0	15.1	-0.09	15.8	17.4	-1.57
Bryant Reeves	72	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.60	-6	8	-14	14.9	15.3	-0.33	16.1	17.6	-1.47
George Lynch	34	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	-1	4	16.4	14.2	2.25	17.8	15.6	2.19
Lee Mayberry	37	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	0	2	15.1	15.0	0.09	17.4	15.8	1.57
Sam Mack	38	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	8	-14	14.1	15.7	-1.58	15.6	17.0	-1.42
Pete Chilcutt	28	29	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.13	-4	6	-10	14.8	15.1	-0.26	16.8	16.3	0.56

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don Reid	22	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.09	2	-4	6	14.3	17.1	-2.80	15.5	14.8	0.66
Jerome Williams	9	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-2	2	16.6	16.4	0.12	11.0	15.4	-4.39
Rick Mahorn	4	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	0	-2	11.7	16.7	-4.91	11.0	15.2	-4.18
Bison Dele	68	67	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-7	12	16.8	15.4	1.39	15.2	14.4	0.85
Grant Long	15	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-1	0	15.9	16.6	-0.69	13.8	15.2	-1.44
Scot Pollard	18	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	0	-2	18.4	16.0	2.48	12.4	15.6	-3.19
Malik Sealy	42	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.00	-5	3	-8	17.4	15.6	1.76	15.0	15.0	0.09
Joe Dumars	54	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	0	-2	16.8	16.0	0.76	14.5	15.6	-1.12
Aaron McKie	29	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.27	1	-3	4	16.9	16.2	0.66	17.9	13.6	4.38
Lindsey Hunter	77	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.51	5	-7	12	15.8	19.7	-3.93	14.6	17.3	-2.71
Grant Hill	83	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.47	-1	-1	0	16.4	17.2	-0.86	15.5	10.9	4.56
Theo Ratliff	39	40	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.34	-10	8	-18	16.4	16.5	-0.06	15.4	14.7	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.34,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.33,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.16,0	92.1%
SEA 106, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.41,0.46,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.26,0	90.6%
MIL 90, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.23,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.31,0.43,0.45,0.15,0	90.2%